Kasatkina vs Sasnovich 0:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Sasnovich: 10 matches in a row under 23.5 games
Other tips
- Total Sets: Under 2.5Won62%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Sasnovich: 10 matches in a row without a deciding set
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Sasnovich won 2-0 in 3 of their 5 head-to-head matches
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: D. Kasatkina 53% · A. Sasnovich 47%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 54% | 46% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 34% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 2,360 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 23%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 0:2
- Total games Over 21.0out · 18 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Daria Kasatkina | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Aces | 3 |
| 4 | Double faults | 4 |
| 71% | First serves in | 57% |
| 44% | First-serve points won | 71% |
| 47% | Second-serve points won | 67% |
| 2/5 | Break points converted | 5/7 |
| 4/9 | Service games held | 7/9 |
| 45% | Service points won | 69% |
| 31% | Return points won | 55% |
| 38 | Total points won | 62 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| D. Kasatkina | Tour | A. Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 52% | 56% | 57% |
| Return points won | 48% | 44% | 46% |
| Service games held | 56% | 63% | 67% |
| Breaks of serve | 45% | 37% | 41% |
| Aces per service game | 0.17 | 0.28 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.55 | 0.31 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 14% | 9% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 6/15 | 3/12 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 76% | |
| Matches in the sample | 43 | 58 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Daria Kasatkina
- 13/10/26LJeļena Ostapenko#24WTA Wuhan · R641:6 1:6
- 11/10/26WSara Sorribes Tormo#170WTA Wuhan · Q22:6 6:2 6:1
- 10/10/26WViktorija Golubic#82WTA Wuhan · Q14:6 7:6 6:4
- 01/10/26LPaula Badosa#61WTA Beijing · R1286:4 6:7 4:6
- 21/09/26LAliaksandra Sasnovich#122WTA Singapore · R325:7 0:6
- 01/09/26LPaula Badosa#61WTA US Open · R1281:6 4:6
- 13/08/26LZeynep Sonmez#63WTA Cincinnati · R1286:2 6:7 3:6
- 05/08/26LElena Rybakina#1WTA Toronto · R643:6 7:5 4:6
- 04/08/26WXinyu Wang#39WTA Toronto · R1281:6 7:6 7:5
- 28/07/26LAnna Kalinskaya#23WTA Washington · R324:6 1:6
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
- 18/10/26WAnhelina Kalinina#51WTA Ningbo · Q25:3
- 17/10/26WAnna Bondar#75WTA Ningbo · Q17:5 6:1
- 09/10/26LElvina Kalieva#113WTA 125 Suzhou · QF3:6 6:7
- 07/10/26WLinda Fruhvirtova#158WTA 125 Suzhou · R166:0 6:2
- 05/10/26WXinxin Yao#270WTA 125 Suzhou · R327:5 6:1
- 02/10/26LEkaterina Alexandrova#33WTA Beijing · R641:6 4:6
- 30/09/26WTalia Gibson#42WTA Beijing · R1286:1 6:4
- 29/09/26WVarvara Lepchenko#187WTA Beijing · Q26:4 6:1
- 28/09/26WJunhan Zhang#574WTA Beijing · Q16:2 6:0
- 23/09/26LMirra Andreeva#3WTA Singapore · R162:6 2:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| D. Kasatkina | A. Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 9–1243% | 23–1659% |
| Clay | 11–569% | 8–657% |
| Grass | 2–433% | 2–340% |
Head to head
D. Kasatkina 2–3 A. Sasnovich
- 21/09/26Winner: Aliaksandra Sasnovich5:7 0:6
- 24/03/22Winner: Aliaksandra Sasnovich6:7 4:6
- 22/02/20Winner: Daria Kasatkina5:7 6:1 6:1
- 30/08/18Winner: Aliaksandra Sasnovich2:6 6:7
- 14/08/17Winner: Daria Kasatkina6:4 6:2
Road through the tournament
Daria Kasatkina
First match in this tournament.
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
- 17/10/26WAnna Bondar#75WTA Ningbo · Q17:5 6:1
- 18/10/26WAnhelina Kalinina#51WTA Ningbo · Q25:3