Ma vs Kasatkina 0:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: Y. Ma 25% · D. Kasatkina 75%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.0
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.5 | 77% | 23% | 82% |
| 17.5 | 66% | 34% | 72% |
| 18.5 | 56% | 44% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 48% | 52% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 41% | 59% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 38% | 62% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 33% | 67% | 38% |
Sample: 1,239 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 22%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 0:2
- Total games Under 19.5in · 16 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Yexin Ma | Daria Kasatkina | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aces | 6 |
| 2 | Double faults | 4 |
| 68% | First serves in | 77% |
| 56% | First-serve points won | 82% |
| 25% | Second-serve points won | 40% |
| 1/5 | Break points converted | 5/8 |
| 3/8 | Service games held | 7/8 |
| 46% | Service points won | 73% |
| 27% | Return points won | 54% |
| 35 | Total points won | 59 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| Y. Ma | Tour | D. Kasatkina | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 54% | 56% | 52% |
| Return points won | 45% | 44% | 48% |
| Service games held | 58% | 63% | 56% |
| Breaks of serve | 38% | 37% | 45% |
| Aces per service game | 0.23 | 0.16 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.34 | 0.55 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 12% | 14% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 5/6 | 6/15 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 50% | |
| Matches in the sample | 23 | 44 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Yexin Ma
- 05/10/26LElvina Kalieva#111WTA 125 Suzhou · R323:6 4:6
- 30/09/26LPolina Kudermetova#91WTA Beijing · R1287:6 3:6 2:6
- 29/09/26LHarriet Dart#115WTA Beijing · Q23:6 2:6
- 28/09/26WYufei Ren#285WTA Beijing · Q14:6 6:1 6:3
- 24/09/26LKimberly Birrell#41WTA Seoul · R165:7 3:6
- 22/09/26WEmerson Jones#127WTA Seoul · R323:6 6:0 6:2
- 20/09/26WEunhye (2000) Lee#467WTA Seoul · Q26:3 6:1
- 19/09/26WCarol Zhao#734WTA Seoul · Q16:3 6:0
- 24/08/26LClara Burel#151WTA US Open · Q14:6 2:6
- 30/07/26LCaty McNally#63WTA Memphis · R162:6 3:6
Daria Kasatkina
- 19/10/26LAliaksandra Sasnovich#112WTA Ningbo · R324:6 2:6
- 13/10/26LJeļena Ostapenko#26WTA Wuhan · R641:6 1:6
- 11/10/26WSara Sorribes Tormo#167WTA Wuhan · Q22:6 6:2 6:1
- 10/10/26WViktorija Golubic#74WTA Wuhan · Q14:6 7:6 6:4
- 01/10/26LPaula Badosa#61WTA Beijing · R1286:4 6:7 4:6
- 21/09/26LAliaksandra Sasnovich#112WTA Singapore · R325:7 0:6
- 01/09/26LPaula Badosa#61WTA US Open · R1281:6 4:6
- 13/08/26LZeynep Sonmez#64WTA Cincinnati · R1286:2 6:7 3:6
- 05/08/26LElena Rybakina#1WTA Toronto · R643:6 7:5 4:6
- 04/08/26WXinyu Wang#39WTA Toronto · R1281:6 7:6 7:5
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| Y. Ma | D. Kasatkina | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 10–1050% | 9–1341% |
| Clay | 0–20% | 11–569% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 2–433% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.