Challenger GuayaquilChallenger 75Round of 16claybest of three sets
Barrios Vera vs Aguilar Cardozo 0:2: result and our tips
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0:2final1:6 3:6
Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Tomas Barrios Vera55%
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo45%
Elo: T. Barrios Vera 49% · J. Aguilar Cardozo 51%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 T. Barrios Vera35%
2:1 T. Barrios Vera20%
2:1 J. Aguilar Cardozo19%
2:0 J. Aguilar Cardozo26%
First set
Tomas Barrios Vera55%
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo45%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 54%market (no margin): 49%
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 75% | 25% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 67% | 33% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 59% | 41% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 53% | 47% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 46% | 54% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 42% | 58% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 36% |
Sample: 4,698 matches
Games handicap
T. Barrios Vera −1.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes22%
tour average 27%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 0:2
- Total games Under 21.5in · 16 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Tomas Barrios Vera | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aces | 1 |
| 5 | Double faults | 1 |
| 62% | First serves in | 64% |
| 59% | First-serve points won | 71% |
| 22% | Second-serve points won | 48% |
| 1/5 | Break points converted | 5/7 |
| 3/8 | Service games held | 7/8 |
| 45% | Service points won | 63% |
| 38% | Return points won | 55% |
| 45 | Total points won | 66 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| T. Barrios Vera | Tour | J. Aguilar Cardozo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 61% | 62% | 59% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 44% |
| Service games held | 76% | 76% | 71% |
| Breaks of serve | 27% | 24% | 38% |
| Aces per service game | 0.24 | 0.12 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.18 | 0.23 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 18% | 14% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 13/28 | 4/12 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 59% | |
| Matches in the sample | 66 | 34 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Tomas Barrios Vera
- 27/10/26WJuan Estevez#357Challenger Guayaquil · R326:2 7:6
- 19/10/26LNicolas Jarry#785Challenger Cali · R324:6 7:6 2:6
- 08/10/26LMiguel Tobon#432Challenger Antofagasta · R166:3 6:7 6:7
- 06/10/26WFranco Roncadelli#261Challenger Antofagasta · R326:4 6:2
- 03/10/26LGuido Ivan Justo#186Challenger Curitiba · SF6:4 4:6 3:6
- 02/10/26WMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida#197Challenger Curitiba · QF6:1 3:6 6:3
- 30/09/26WJuan Bautista Torres#314Challenger Curitiba · R166:2 6:3
- 29/09/26WLorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez#517Challenger Curitiba · R326:1 6:1
- 31/08/26LAlexander Blockx#28ATP US Open · R1283:6 4:6 2:6
- 27/08/26WDaniel Rincon#234ATP US Open · Q36:4 6:3
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
- 28/10/26WMiguel Tobon#432Challenger Guayaquil · R326:3 6:3
- 13/10/26LFelipe Meligeni Alves#348Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R320:6 1:2
- 08/10/26LLautaro Midon#185Challenger Antofagasta · R166:7 6:2 6:7
- 06/10/26WNicolas Villalon Valdes#713Challenger Antofagasta · R326:2 7:5
- 05/10/26WLorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez#517Challenger Antofagasta · Q26:3 0:6 6:3
- 04/10/26WSantiago De la Fuente#757Challenger Antofagasta · Q16:1 6:7 6:0
- 26/09/26LAlex Barrena#224Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · SF4:6 3:6
- 25/09/26WJuan Pablo Varillas#202Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · QF6:2 6:4
- 23/09/26WFrancisco Comesana#135Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R167:5 6:7 6:4
- 22/09/26WCarlos Maria Zarate#341Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R326:2 6:1
Elo over the last year
Tomas Barrios VeraJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| T. Barrios Vera | J. Aguilar Cardozo | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 9–853% | 0–0 |
| Clay | 25–2056% | 22–1363% |
| Grass | 2–250% | 0–0 |
Head to head
T. Barrios Vera 1–0 J. Aguilar Cardozo
- 13/11/23Winner: T. Barrios Vera6:4 6:1
Road through the tournament
Tomas Barrios Vera
- 27/10/26WJuan Estevez#357Challenger Guayaquil · R326:2 7:6
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
- 28/10/26WMiguel Tobon#432Challenger Guayaquil · R326:3 6:3
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