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Challenger GuayaquilChallenger 75Round of 32claybest of three sets

Barrios Vera vs Estevez 2:0: result and our tips

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Tomas Barrios VeraATP #154Elo 1731clay 1715
2:0finalrebuilt6:2 7:6(12)
Juan EstevezATP #357Elo 1485clay 1484

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

How our tips did

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Tomas Barrios Vera84%
Juan Estevez16%

Elo: T. Barrios Vera 79% · J. Estevez 21%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Barrios Vera62%
2:1 T. Barrios Vera22%
2:1 J. Estevez8%
2:0 J. Estevez9%

First set

Tomas Barrios Vera76%
Juan Estevez24%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes30%
no70%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.5 · 54%market (no margin): 50%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.574%27%84%
17.563%37%76%
18.554%46%68%
19.546%54%59%
20.541%59%52%
21.536%64%47%
22.532%68%40%

Sample: 2,012 matches

Games handicap

T. Barrios Vera −5.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes17%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

Tip worked out after the fact from pre-match data — the board was not published yet at the time.

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 19.5out · 21 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Tomas Barrios VeraJuan Estevez
3Aces3
3Double faults2
65%First serves in72%
75%First-serve points won62%
46%Second-serve points won48%
4/8Break points converted2/5
8/10Service games held6/10
65%Service points won58%
42%Return points won35%
80Total points won70

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. Barrios VeraTourJ. Estevez
Service points won61%62%58%
Return points won40%38%43%
Service games held76%76%68%
Breaks of serve27%24%32%
Aces per service game0.240.14
Double faults per game0.180.21
Sets with a tie-break17%11%
Tie-breaks won12/275/10
Wins in straight sets63%81%
Matches in the sample6536

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Tomas Barrios Vera

Juan Estevez

Elo over the last year

Tomas Barrios VeraJuan Estevez

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. Barrios VeraJ. Estevez
Hard court9–853%0–0
Clay24–2055%16–2143%
Grass2–250%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Upcoming matches

See also