WTA 125 CaliRound of 16claybest of three sets
Grabher vs Riera: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 12mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Julia Grabher55%
Julia Riera45%
Elo: J. Grabher 63% · J. Riera 37%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 J. Grabher33%
2:1 J. Grabher21%
2:1 J. Riera18%
2:0 J. Riera28%
First set
Julia Grabher51%
Julia Riera49%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 50%
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 66% | 34% | 59% |
| 19.5 | 59% | 41% | 52% |
| 20.5 | 52% | 48% | 45% |
| 21.5 | 48% | 52% | 41% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 37% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 33% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 31% |
Sample: 1,487 matches
Games handicap
J. Grabher −1.549%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes23%
tour average 20%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. Grabher | Tour | J. Riera | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 56% | 56% | 55% |
| Return points won | 43% | 44% | 46% |
| Service games held | 64% | 63% | 59% |
| Breaks of serve | 36% | 37% | 40% |
| Aces per service game | 0.16 | 0.18 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.47 | 0.39 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 15% | 11% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 7/17 | 5/10 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 29% | |
| Matches in the sample | 51 | 34 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Julia Grabher
- 03/11/26WLaura Pigossi#260WTA 125 Cali · R323:6 6:3 6:2
- 01/11/26LAlice Tubello#152WTA 125 Curitiba · F6:3 6:7 6:7
- 31/10/26WJulia Riera#137WTA 125 Curitiba · SF6:3 6:3
- 30/10/26WLeyre Romero Gormaz#131WTA 125 Curitiba · QF1:6 6:4 7:5
- 29/10/26WMaria Carle#232WTA 125 Curitiba · R167:5 7:5
- 27/10/26WCarolina Alves#308WTA 125 Curitiba · R327:5 7:6
- 16/10/26LAriana Geerlings Martinez#298WTA 125 Mallorca · QF6:7 3:6
- 14/10/26WLidia Encheva#314WTA 125 Mallorca · R164:6 7:5 6:4
- 12/10/26WDeborah Chiesa#340WTA 125 Mallorca · R323:6 6:4 6:4
- 05/10/26LDalma Galfi#155WTA 125 Samsun · R323:6 4:6
Julia Riera
- 03/11/26WValentina Mediorreal Arias#931WTA 125 Cali · R326:1 6:1
- 31/10/26LJulia Grabher#112WTA 125 Curitiba · SF3:6 3:6
- 30/10/26WSolana Sierra#104WTA 125 Curitiba · QF1:6 6:4 7:5
- 29/10/26WYasmine Kabbaj#254WTA 125 Curitiba · R166:2 6:4
- 27/10/26WRebeka Masarova#157WTA 125 Curitiba · R321:6 6:4 6:1
- 30/09/26LAntonia Ruzic#81WTA 125 Adana · R163:6 4:6
- 28/09/26WAnna Siskova#170WTA 125 Adana · R327:5 6:2
- 22/09/26LElena Micic#289WTA 125 Ankara · R321:6 3:6
- 15/09/26LElina Avanesyan#149WTA Sao Paulo · R322:6 4:6
- 11/09/26LAnna Blinkova#105WTA 125 Barranquilla · QF2:6 2:6
Elo over the last year
Julia GrabherJulia Riera
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. Grabher | J. Riera | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 5–1033% | 4–640% |
| Clay | 22–1363% | 12–1055% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 1–150% |
Head to head
J. Grabher 2–0 J. Riera
- 31/10/26Winner: J. Grabher6:3 6:3
- 26/05/23Winner: J. Grabher6:1 3:6 7:6
Road through the tournament
Julia Grabher
- 03/11/26WLaura Pigossi#260WTA 125 Cali · R323:6 6:3 6:2
Julia Riera
- 03/11/26WValentina Mediorreal Arias#931WTA 125 Cali · R326:1 6:1