Skip to content
WTA 125 CaliRound of 32claybest of three sets

Mediorreal Arias vs Riera 0:2: result and our tips

·

Valentina Mediorreal AriasWTA #931Elo 1307clay 1305
0:2final1:6 1:6
Julia RieraWTA #137Elo 1655clay 1680

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Valentina Mediorreal Arias2%
Julia Riera98%

Elo: V. Mediorreal Arias 10% · J. Riera 90%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 V. Mediorreal Arias1%
2:1 V. Mediorreal Arias2%
2:1 J. Riera9%
2:0 J. Riera89%

First set

Valentina Mediorreal Arias6%
Julia Riera94%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes10%
no90%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 14.5 · 67%market (no margin): 54%

The 14.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 16.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
12.590%10%99%
13.579%21%97%
14.567%33%93%
15.553%47%86%
16.542%58%78%
17.530%70%69%
18.523%77%60%

Sample: 347 matches

Games handicap

J. Riera −8.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes6%

tour average 20%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 14.5out · 14 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Valentina Mediorreal AriasJulia Riera
0Aces3
1Double faults4
67%First serves in71%
33%First-serve points won74%
50%Second-serve points won39%
1/6Break points converted6/10
1/7Service games held6/7
39%Service points won64%
36%Return points won61%
35Total points won58

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

V. Mediorreal AriasTourJ. Riera
Service points won53%56%55%
Return points won40%44%46%
Service games held56%63%59%
Breaks of serve28%37%40%
Aces per service game0.140.18
Double faults per game0.410.39
Sets with a tie-break0%11%
Tie-breaks won0/05/10
Wins in straight sets—29%
Matches in the sample334

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Valentina Mediorreal Arias

Julia Riera

Elo over the last year

Valentina Mediorreal AriasJulia Riera

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

V. Mediorreal AriasJ. Riera
Hard court0–10%4–640%
Clay0–20%12–1055%
Grass0–01–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.