WTA 125 CuritibaRound of 16claybest of three sets
Carle vs Grabher: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 0hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Maria Carle36%
Julia Grabher64%
Elo: M. Carle 29% · J. Grabher 71%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 M. Carle24%
2:1 M. Carle17%
2:1 J. Grabher22%
2:0 J. Grabher37%
First set
Maria Carle45%
Julia Grabher55%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 50%
The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 67% | 33% | 59% |
| 19.5 | 60% | 40% | 52% |
| 20.5 | 52% | 48% | 45% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 52% | 41% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 37% |
| 23.5 | 38% | 62% | 33% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 31% |
Sample: 1,488 matches
Games handicap
J. Grabher −2.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes23%
tour average 20%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Carle | Tour | J. Grabher | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 53% | 56% | 56% |
| Return points won | 47% | 44% | 43% |
| Service games held | 56% | 63% | 65% |
| Breaks of serve | 45% | 37% | 36% |
| Aces per service game | 0.09 | 0.17 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.49 | 0.47 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 10% | 14% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 4/8 | 7/15 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 47% | 60% | |
| Matches in the sample | 34 | 48 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Maria Carle
- 27/10/26WLaura Pigossi#247WTA 125 Curitiba · R327:5 6:0
- 22/09/26LNuria Brancaccio#226WTA 125 Tolentino · R323:6 6:4 4:6
- 15/09/26LEkaterine Gorgodze#180WTA 125 Ljubljana · R325:7 7:6 4:6
- 11/09/26LRositsa Dencheva#195WTA 125 Antalya 4 · QF5:7 2:6
- 10/09/26WEva Vedder#179WTA 125 Antalya 4 · R166:1 6:2
- 08/09/26WGina Feistel#323WTA 125 Antalya 4 · R325:7 7:5 7:6
- 25/08/26LVendula Valdmannova#169WTA US Open · Q13:6 3:6
- 22/07/26LAnhelina Kalinina#55WTA Hamburg · R161:6 3:6
- 21/07/26WJule Niemeier#447WTA Hamburg · R327:5 6:2
- 20/07/26WJessica Pieri#339WTA Hamburg · Q20:6 6:1 6:1
Julia Grabher
- 27/10/26WCarolina Alves#309WTA 125 Curitiba · R327:5 7:6
- 16/10/26LAriana Geerlings Martinez#299WTA 125 Mallorca · QF6:7 3:6
- 14/10/26WLidia Encheva#324WTA 125 Mallorca · R164:6 7:5 6:4
- 12/10/26WDeborah Chiesa#335WTA 125 Mallorca · R323:6 6:4 6:4
- 05/10/26LDalma Galfi#152WTA 125 Samsun · R323:6 4:6
- 27/09/26WGuiomar Maristany Zuleta de Reales#138WTA 125 Tolentino · F7:6 6:2
- 26/09/26WOksana Selekhmeteva#120WTA 125 Tolentino · SF7:6 6:1
- 25/09/26WNuria Brancaccio#226WTA 125 Tolentino · QF2:6 6:1 6:4
- 24/09/26WAlice Tubello#207WTA 125 Tolentino · R163:6 6:3 6:4
- 22/09/26WJennifer Ruggeri#266WTA 125 Tolentino · R324:6 7:5 6:3
Elo over the last year
Maria CarleJulia Grabher
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Carle | J. Grabher | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 2–433% | 5–1033% |
| Clay | 14–1254% | 20–1263% |
| Grass | 1–150% | 0–10% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Maria Carle
- 27/10/26WLaura Pigossi#247WTA 125 Curitiba · R327:5 6:0
Julia Grabher
- 27/10/26WCarolina Alves#309WTA 125 Curitiba · R327:5 7:6