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WTA 125 CuritibaQuarterfinalclaybest of three setsqualifying

Romero Gormaz vs Grabher 1:2: result and our tips

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Leyre Romero GormazWTA #131Elo 1676clay 1697
1:2final6:1 4:6 5:7
Julia GrabherWTA #112Elo 1746clay 1768

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won66%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Grabher: 11 matches in a row over 18.5 games; Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Romero Gormaz 12 of 20, Grabher 16 of 20 (tour average 59%)

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Lost61%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Romero Gormaz: 6 matches in a row without a deciding set

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.5Won36%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Romero Gormaz 9 of 20, Grabher 8 of 20 (tour average 30%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Leyre Romero Gormaz46%
Julia Grabher54%

Elo: L. Romero Gormaz 40% · J. Grabher 60%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Romero Gormaz28%
2:1 L. Romero Gormaz19%
2:1 J. Grabher21%
2:0 J. Grabher33%

First set

Leyre Romero Gormaz49%
Julia Grabher51%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 48%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.566%34%59%
19.558%42%52%
20.552%48%45%
21.548%52%41%
22.543%57%37%
23.539%61%33%
24.536%64%31%

Sample: 1,436 matches

Games handicap

J. Grabher −1.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 29 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Leyre Romero GormazJulia Grabher
1Aces1
7Double faults7
56%First serves in72%
60%First-serve points won59%
49%Second-serve points won44%
6/13Break points converted5/7
9/14Service games held9/15
55%Service points won55%
45%Return points won45%
92Total points won91

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. Romero GormazTourJ. Grabher
Service points won55%56%56%
Return points won47%44%43%
Service games held63%63%64%
Breaks of serve45%37%35%
Aces per service game0.200.16
Double faults per game0.410.47
Sets with a tie-break9%14%
Tie-breaks won2/117/15
Wins in straight sets67%58%
Matches in the sample5147

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Leyre Romero Gormaz

  • 28/10/26WAntonia Vergara Rivera#433WTA 125 Curitiba · R167:5 6:2
  • 26/10/26WJulia Konishi Camargo Silva#670WTA 125 Curitiba · R326:2 6:1
  • 18/10/26LClara Burel#144WTA 125 Lisbon · F4:6 3:6
  • 17/10/26WDalma Galfi#155WTA 125 Lisbon · SF6:2 6:3
  • 16/10/26WFiona Ferro#96WTA 125 Lisbon · QF6:2 6:2
  • 15/10/26WRaluca Georgiana Serban#385WTA 125 Lisbon · R166:1 6:2
  • 12/10/26WAlice Rame#420WTA 125 Lisbon · R324:6 6:2 7:5
  • 23/09/26LJessica Pieri#345WTA 125 Tolentino · R166:3 4:6 1:6
  • 21/09/26WPolona Hercog#201WTA 125 Tolentino · R326:7 6:1 7:6
  • 15/09/26LMartina Trevisan#300WTA 125 Valencia · R326:1 2:6 4:6

Julia Grabher

Elo over the last year

Leyre Romero GormazJulia Grabher

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. Romero GormazJ. Grabher
Hard court3–538%5–1033%
Clay27–1564%19–1261%
Grass0–10%0–10%

Head to head

L. Romero Gormaz 1–1 J. Grabher

  • 07/07/25Winner: L. Romero Gormaz6:2 6:3
  • 30/12/24Winner: J. Grabher6:2 3:6 6:7

Road through the tournament

Leyre Romero Gormaz

Julia Grabher

Upcoming matches

See also