Challenger Costa do SauipeChallenger 175Round of 16claybest of three sets
Midon vs Barrios Vera: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 10mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Lautaro Midon51%
Tomas Barrios Vera49%
Elo: L. Midon 59% · T. Barrios Vera 42%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 L. Midon31%
2:1 L. Midon19%
2:1 T. Barrios Vera19%
2:0 T. Barrios Vera30%
First set
Lautaro Midon51%
Tomas Barrios Vera50%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 58%market (no margin): 49%
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 77% | 23% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 68% | 32% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 59% | 41% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 53% | 47% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 47% | 53% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 42% | 58% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 36% |
Sample: 4,370 matches
Games handicap
L. Midon −0.549%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes23%
tour average 27%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Midon | Tour | T. Barrios Vera | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 43% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 69% | 76% | 76% |
| Breaks of serve | 33% | 24% | 27% |
| Aces per service game | 0.30 | 0.23 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.20 | 0.19 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 12% | 18% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 12/19 | 14/29 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 64% | |
| Matches in the sample | 67 | 67 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Lautaro Midon
- 03/11/26WLucas Andrade Da Silva#581Challenger Costa do Sauipe · R327:6 6:3
- 30/10/26LJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo#288Challenger Guayaquil · QF6:7 4:6
- 29/10/26WDaniel Elahi Galan#355Challenger Guayaquil · R166:4 6:4
- 27/10/26WGonzalo Villanueva#325Challenger Guayaquil · R326:3 6:3
- 10/10/26LThiago Seyboth Wild#110Challenger Antofagasta · SF4:6 1:6
- 09/10/26WEduardo Ribeiro#360Challenger Antofagasta · QF6:2 6:1
- 08/10/26WJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo#288Challenger Antofagasta · R167:6 2:6 7:6
- 06/10/26WJose Pereira#739Challenger Antofagasta · R326:3 4:6 6:0
- 02/10/26LGustavo Heide#112Challenger Curitiba · QF2:6 4:6
- 30/09/26WBruno Fernandez#553Challenger Curitiba · R166:2 7:5
Tomas Barrios Vera
- 02/11/26WHenrique Rocha#99Challenger Costa do Sauipe · R326:4 7:6
- 29/10/26LJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo#288Challenger Guayaquil · R161:6 3:6
- 27/10/26WJuan Estevez#357Challenger Guayaquil · R326:2 7:6
- 19/10/26LNicolas Jarry#785Challenger Cali · R324:6 7:6 2:6
- 08/10/26LMiguel Tobon#432Challenger Antofagasta · R166:3 6:7 6:7
- 06/10/26WFranco Roncadelli#261Challenger Antofagasta · R326:4 6:2
- 03/10/26LGuido Ivan Justo#186Challenger Curitiba · SF6:4 4:6 3:6
- 02/10/26WMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida#197Challenger Curitiba · QF6:1 3:6 6:3
- 30/09/26WJuan Bautista Torres#314Challenger Curitiba · R166:2 6:3
- 29/09/26WLorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez#517Challenger Curitiba · R326:1 6:1
Elo over the last year
Lautaro MidonTomas Barrios Vera
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Midon | T. Barrios Vera | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 6–367% | 9–853% |
| Clay | 36–2163% | 25–2154% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 2–250% |
Head to head
L. Midon 0–1 T. Barrios Vera
- 01/10/25Winner: T. Barrios Vera2:6 2:6
Road through the tournament
Lautaro Midon
- 03/11/26WLucas Andrade Da Silva#581Challenger Costa do Sauipe · R327:6 6:3
Tomas Barrios Vera
- 02/11/26WHenrique Rocha#99Challenger Costa do Sauipe · R326:4 7:6