Skip to content
Challenger Costa do SauipeChallenger 175Round of 32claybest of three sets

Barrios Vera vs Rocha 2:0: result and our tips

·

Tomas Barrios VeraATP #154Elo 1723clay 1708
2:0final6:4 7:6(8)
Henrique RochaATP #99Elo 1816clay 1809

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won63%

Where the number comes from: market alone 65% → with the players' profiles 63%

Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Barrios Vera 14 of 20, Rocha 15 of 20 (tour average 59%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: RochaLost62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 62%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Rocha won 7 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Tomas Barrios Vera39%
Henrique Rocha62%

Elo: T. Barrios Vera 36% · H. Rocha 64%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Barrios Vera22%
2:1 T. Barrios Vera16%
2:1 H. Rocha22%
2:0 H. Rocha40%

First set

Tomas Barrios Vera41%
Henrique Rocha59%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 49%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.572%28%68%
19.563%37%59%
20.557%43%52%
21.551%49%46%
22.544%56%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.538%62%34%

Sample: 4,892 matches

Games handicap

H. Rocha −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes28%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 23 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Tomas Barrios VeraHenrique Rocha
0Aces4
3Double faults4
68%First serves in60%
66%First-serve points won72%
65%Second-serve points won46%
2/5Break points converted1/5
10/11Service games held9/11
65%Service points won61%
39%Return points won35%
85Total points won79

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. Barrios VeraTourH. Rocha
Service points won61%62%63%
Return points won40%38%40%
Service games held76%76%78%
Breaks of serve27%24%28%
Aces per service game0.240.27
Double faults per game0.190.27
Sets with a tie-break18%16%
Tie-breaks won13/2814/25
Wins in straight sets64%71%
Matches in the sample6767

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Tomas Barrios Vera

Henrique Rocha

Elo over the last year

Tomas Barrios VeraHenrique Rocha

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. Barrios VeraH. Rocha
Hard court9–853%13–862%
Clay25–2154%27–1564%
Grass2–250%1–325%

Head to head

T. Barrios Vera 2–3 H. Rocha

  • 25/06/25Winner: T. Barrios Vera6:4 6:3
  • 12/06/25Winner: H. Rocha2:6 5:7
  • 22/05/25Winner: H. Rocha6:7 3:6
  • 07/11/24Winner: H. Rocha6:7 6:3 2:6
  • 01/11/24Winner: T. Barrios Vera6:1 6:2

See also