Challenger GuayaquilChallenger 75Round of 16claybest of three sets
Galan vs Midon 0:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Daniel Elahi Galan40%
Lautaro Midon61%
Elo: D. Galan 38% · L. Midon 62%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 D. Galan22%
2:1 D. Galan17%
2:1 L. Midon22%
2:0 L. Midon39%
First set
Daniel Elahi Galan41%
Lautaro Midon59%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no62%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 52%market (no margin): 48%
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 68% | 32% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 40% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 54% | 46% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 48% | 52% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 58% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 60% | 36% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 34% |
Sample: 4,924 matches
Games handicap
L. Midon −2.552%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes24%
tour average 27%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 0:2
- Total games Under 22.0in · 20 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Daniel Elahi Galan | Lautaro Midon | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Aces | 2 |
| 2 | Double faults | 1 |
| 69% | First serves in | 46% |
| 58% | First-serve points won | 80% |
| 60% | Second-serve points won | 60% |
| 1/2 | Break points converted | 3/8 |
| 7/10 | Service games held | 9/10 |
| 59% | Service points won | 69% |
| 31% | Return points won | 42% |
| 55 | Total points won | 65 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| D. Galan | Tour | L. Midon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 59% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 43% |
| Service games held | 75% | 76% | 69% |
| Breaks of serve | 25% | 24% | 33% |
| Aces per service game | 0.35 | 0.30 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.17 | 0.20 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 20% | 11% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 11/25 | 11/18 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 55% | |
| Matches in the sample | 53 | 66 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Daniel Elahi Galan
- 28/10/26WMateo Del PinoChallenger Guayaquil · R326:1 5:7 6:0
- 26/10/26WLorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez#517Challenger Guayaquil · Q26:3 6:3
- 25/10/26WBoris AriasChallenger Guayaquil · Q16:1 1:0
- 19/10/26LJuan Pablo Varillas#202Challenger Cali · R323:6 3:6
- 21/09/26LCalvin Hemery#274Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R327:6 6:7 6:7
- 17/09/26LNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo#151Challenger Szczecin · R160:6 3:6
- 15/09/26WFacundo Diaz Acosta#72Challenger Szczecin · R325:7 6:2 6:3
- 07/09/26LMarko ToPo#344Challenger Tulln · R322:6 6:4 3:6
- 12/08/26LFederico Agustin Gomez#208Challenger Todi · R165:7 4:6
- 10/08/26WMurkel Dellien#450Challenger Todi · R326:4 6:2
Lautaro Midon
- 27/10/26WGonzalo Villanueva#325Challenger Guayaquil · R326:3 6:3
- 10/10/26LThiago Seyboth Wild#110Challenger Antofagasta · SF4:6 1:6
- 09/10/26WEduardo Ribeiro#360Challenger Antofagasta · QF6:2 6:1
- 08/10/26WJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo#288Challenger Antofagasta · R167:6 2:6 7:6
- 06/10/26WJose Pereira#739Challenger Antofagasta · R326:3 4:6 6:0
- 02/10/26LGustavo Heide#112Challenger Curitiba · QF2:6 4:6
- 30/09/26WBruno Fernandez#553Challenger Curitiba · R166:2 7:5
- 29/09/26WMatias Soto#260Challenger Curitiba · R326:3 6:3
- 24/08/26LKyrian Jacquet#80ATP US Open · Q14:6 3:6
- 20/08/26LClement Chidekh#131Challenger Kingston · QF1:6 3:6
Elo over the last year
Daniel Elahi GalanLautaro Midon
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| D. Galan | L. Midon | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 1–233% | 6–367% |
| Clay | 26–2452% | 34–2261% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 0–10% |
Head to head
D. Galan 0–1 L. Midon
- 08/02/26Winner: L. Midon4:6 6:4 3:6
Road through the tournament
Daniel Elahi Galan
- 25/10/26WBoris AriasChallenger Guayaquil · Q16:1 1:0
- 26/10/26WLorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez#517Challenger Guayaquil · Q26:3 6:3
- 28/10/26WMateo Del PinoChallenger Guayaquil · R326:1 5:7 6:0
Lautaro Midon
- 27/10/26WGonzalo Villanueva#325Challenger Guayaquil · R326:3 6:3