Challenger GuayaquilChallenger 75Quarterfinalclaybest of three setsqualifying
Aguilar Cardozo vs Midon 2:0: result and our tips
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2:0final7:6(3) 6:4
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Our tip
Total Games: Under 22.5Lost60%
Where the number comes from: market alone 55% → with the players' profiles 60%
Midon: 4 matches in a row under 22.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo50%
Lautaro Midon50%
Elo: J. Aguilar Cardozo 44% · L. Midon 56%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 J. Aguilar Cardozo31%
2:1 J. Aguilar Cardozo19%
2:1 L. Midon19%
2:0 L. Midon31%
First set
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo50%
Lautaro Midon50%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 56%market (no margin): 49%
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 72% | 28% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 63% | 37% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 55% | 45% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 49% | 51% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 44% | 56% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 40% | 60% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 37% | 63% | 36% |
Sample: 4,355 matches
Games handicap
L. Midon −0.549%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes18%
tour average 27%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 2:0
- Total games Under 21.5out · 23 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | Lautaro Midon | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Aces | 2 |
| 3 | Double faults | 0 |
| 68% | First serves in | 45% |
| 60% | First-serve points won | 64% |
| 46% | Second-serve points won | 45% |
| 5/10 | Break points converted | 4/7 |
| 7/11 | Service games held | 6/11 |
| 55% | Service points won | 53% |
| 47% | Return points won | 45% |
| 75 | Total points won | 72 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. Aguilar Cardozo | Tour | L. Midon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 62% | 59% |
| Return points won | 44% | 38% | 43% |
| Service games held | 71% | 76% | 69% |
| Breaks of serve | 38% | 24% | 33% |
| Aces per service game | 0.12 | 0.30 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.23 | 0.20 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 14% | 11% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 4/12 | 11/18 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 56% | |
| Matches in the sample | 35 | 66 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
- 29/10/26WTomas Barrios Vera#154Challenger Guayaquil · R166:1 6:3
- 28/10/26WMiguel Tobon#432Challenger Guayaquil · R326:3 6:3
- 13/10/26LFelipe Meligeni Alves#348Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R320:6 1:2
- 08/10/26LLautaro Midon#185Challenger Antofagasta · R166:7 6:2 6:7
- 06/10/26WNicolas Villalon Valdes#713Challenger Antofagasta · R326:2 7:5
- 05/10/26WLorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez#517Challenger Antofagasta · Q26:3 0:6 6:3
- 04/10/26WSantiago De la Fuente#757Challenger Antofagasta · Q16:1 6:7 6:0
- 26/09/26LAlex Barrena#224Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · SF4:6 3:6
- 25/09/26WJuan Pablo Varillas#202Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · QF6:2 6:4
- 23/09/26WFrancisco Comesana#135Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R167:5 6:7 6:4
Lautaro Midon
- 29/10/26WDaniel Elahi Galan#355Challenger Guayaquil · R166:4 6:4
- 27/10/26WGonzalo Villanueva#325Challenger Guayaquil · R326:3 6:3
- 10/10/26LThiago Seyboth Wild#110Challenger Antofagasta · SF4:6 1:6
- 09/10/26WEduardo Ribeiro#360Challenger Antofagasta · QF6:2 6:1
- 08/10/26WJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo#288Challenger Antofagasta · R167:6 2:6 7:6
- 06/10/26WJose Pereira#739Challenger Antofagasta · R326:3 4:6 6:0
- 02/10/26LGustavo Heide#112Challenger Curitiba · QF2:6 4:6
- 30/09/26WBruno Fernandez#553Challenger Curitiba · R166:2 7:5
- 29/09/26WMatias Soto#260Challenger Curitiba · R326:3 6:3
- 24/08/26LKyrian Jacquet#80ATP US Open · Q14:6 3:6
Elo over the last year
Joaquin Aguilar CardozoLautaro Midon
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. Aguilar Cardozo | L. Midon | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–0 | 6–367% |
| Clay | 23–1364% | 35–2163% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 0–10% |
Head to head
J. Aguilar Cardozo 0–1 L. Midon
- 08/10/26Winner: L. Midon6:7 6:2 6:7
Road through the tournament
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
- 28/10/26WMiguel Tobon#432Challenger Guayaquil · R326:3 6:3
- 29/10/26WTomas Barrios Vera#154Challenger Guayaquil · R166:1 6:3
Lautaro Midon
- 27/10/26WGonzalo Villanueva#325Challenger Guayaquil · R326:3 6:3
- 29/10/26WDaniel Elahi Galan#355Challenger Guayaquil · R166:4 6:4
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