Challenger GuayaquilChallenger 75Round of 32claybest of three sets
Aguilar Cardozo vs Tobon: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1h 24mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo62%
Miguel Tobon39%
Elo: J. Aguilar Cardozo 59% · M. Tobon 41%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 J. Aguilar Cardozo40%
2:1 J. Aguilar Cardozo22%
2:1 M. Tobon16%
2:0 M. Tobon22%
First set
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo59%
Miguel Tobon41%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no62%
Total games
Expected total: 22.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 68% | 32% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 60% | 40% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 54% | 46% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 47% | 53% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 42% | 58% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 36% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 34% |
Sample: 4,881 matches
Games handicap
J. Aguilar Cardozo −2.552%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes23%
tour average 27%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. Aguilar Cardozo | Tour | M. Tobon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 58% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 44% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 70% | 76% | 76% |
| Breaks of serve | 38% | 24% | 26% |
| Aces per service game | 0.12 | 0.38 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.23 | 0.32 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 15% | 21% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 4/12 | 13/27 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 52% | |
| Matches in the sample | 33 | 54 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
- 13/10/26LFelipe Meligeni Alves#344Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R320:6 1:2
- 08/10/26LLautaro Midon#187Challenger Antofagasta · R166:7 6:2 6:7
- 06/10/26WNicolas Villalon Valdes#713Challenger Antofagasta · R326:2 7:5
- 05/10/26WLorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez#519Challenger Antofagasta · Q26:3 0:6 6:3
- 04/10/26WSantiago De la Fuente#712Challenger Antofagasta · Q16:1 6:7 6:0
- 26/09/26LAlex Barrena#211Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · SF4:6 3:6
- 25/09/26WJuan Pablo Varillas#201Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · QF6:2 6:4
- 23/09/26WFrancisco Comesana#128Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R167:5 6:7 6:4
- 22/09/26WCarlos Maria Zarate#340Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R326:2 6:1
- 21/09/26WFederico Aguilar CardozoChallenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q26:4 7:5
Miguel Tobon
- 26/10/26WDaniel Salazar Martinez#658Challenger Guayaquil · Q26:2 6:3
- 25/10/26WFederico ZeballosChallenger Guayaquil · Q16:1 6:4
- 23/10/26LValerio Aboian#283Challenger Cali · QF6:1 6:7 2:6
- 22/10/26WNicolas Mejia#115Challenger Cali · R164:6 6:2 7:6
- 21/10/26WGonzalo Villanueva#318Challenger Cali · R326:1 2:6 6:4
- 09/10/26LJuan Carlos Prado Angelo#198Challenger Antofagasta · QF2:6 2:6
- 08/10/26WTomas Barrios Vera#156Challenger Antofagasta · R163:6 7:6 7:6
- 06/10/26WThiago Cigarran#590Challenger Antofagasta · R324:6 6:4 6:1
- 29/09/26LJuan Bautista Torres#298Challenger Curitiba · R322:6 6:3 1:6
- 10/09/26LEdas Butvilas#208Challenger Istanbul 3 · R166:7 1:6
Elo over the last year
Joaquin Aguilar CardozoMiguel Tobon
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. Aguilar Cardozo | M. Tobon | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–0 | 9–950% |
| Clay | 21–1362% | 18–1850% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
First match in this tournament.
Miguel Tobon
- 25/10/26WFederico ZeballosChallenger Guayaquil · Q16:1 6:4
- 26/10/26WDaniel Salazar Martinez#658Challenger Guayaquil · Q26:2 6:3