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Challenger GuayaquilChallenger 75Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Tobon vs Zeballos 2:0: result and our tips

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Miguel TobonATP #444Elo 1610clay 1619
2:0finalrebuilt6:1 6:4
Federico ZeballosElo 1343clay 1349

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Miguel Tobon90%
Federico Zeballos10%

Elo: M. Tobon 83% · F. Zeballos 18%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Tobon72%
2:1 M. Tobon17%
2:1 F. Zeballos6%
2:0 F. Zeballos5%

First set

Miguel Tobon83%
Federico Zeballos17%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes23%
no77%

Total games

Expected total: 20.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
15.579%21%91%
16.569%31%84%
17.559%41%76%
18.550%51%68%
19.542%58%59%
20.535%65%52%
21.531%69%47%

Sample: 1,442 matches

Games handicap

M. Tobon −6.544%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes18%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

Tip worked out after the fact from pre-match data — the board was not published yet at the time.

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 18.5in · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Miguel TobonFederico Zeballos
8Aces0
0Double faults4
70%First serves in55%
85%First-serve points won57%
50%Second-serve points won39%
4/4Break points converted1/2
8/9Service games held4/8
75%Service points won49%
51%Return points won26%
61Total points won37

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. TobonTourF. Zeballos
Service points won62%62%58%
Return points won38%38%36%
Service games held75%76%70%
Breaks of serve25%24%19%
Aces per service game0.370.27
Double faults per game0.330.33
Sets with a tie-break21%0%
Tie-breaks won13/270/0
Wins in straight sets48%33%
Matches in the sample5219

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Miguel Tobon

Federico Zeballos

  • 12/10/26LLucio Ratti#369Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q26:4 3:6 0:6
  • 11/10/26WSamuel Heredia#632Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q16:4 3:6 6:3
  • 27/09/26LBruno Fernandez#553Challenger Curitiba · Q16:3 5:7 4:6
  • 10/08/26LErgi Kirkin#648Challenger Hamburg · Q23:6 3:6
  • 09/08/26WSamuele Pieri#313Challenger Hamburg · Q13:6 6:3 6:4
  • 26/07/26LFrancesco Forti#323Challenger San Marino · Q11:6 4:6
  • 06/07/26LLucas Andrade Da Silva#582Challenger Bogota · Q21:6 2:6
  • 05/07/26WArklon Huertas Del Pino Cordova#676Challenger Bogota · Q16:4 7:5
  • 29/06/26LLucas Andrade Da Silva#582Challenger Quito · Q22:6 3:6
  • 28/06/26WAndres UrreaChallenger Quito · Q13:6 6:3 6:4

Elo over the last year

Miguel TobonFederico Zeballos

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. TobonF. Zeballos
Hard court9–950%0–20%
Clay16–1847%6–1135%

Head to head

They have not met yet.