Villanueva vs Tobon 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Villanueva won the first set in 11 of the last 20 matches, Tobon lost the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
A third set in recent matches: Villanueva 9 of 20, Tobon 9 of 20 (tour average 34%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: G. Villanueva 60% · M. Tobon 40%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 68% | 32% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 60% | 40% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 54% | 46% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 48% | 52% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 60% | 36% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 34% |
Sample: 4,730 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Under 22.0out · 25 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Gonzalo Villanueva | Miguel Tobon | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aces | 5 |
| 4 | Double faults | 7 |
| 56% | First serves in | 58% |
| 64% | First-serve points won | 72% |
| 43% | Second-serve points won | 47% |
| 4/7 | Break points converted | 5/6 |
| 7/12 | Service games held | 9/13 |
| 55% | Service points won | 62% |
| 39% | Return points won | 45% |
| 70 | Total points won | 85 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| G. Villanueva | Tour | M. Tobon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 58% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 43% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 69% | 76% | 75% |
| Breaks of serve | 34% | 24% | 25% |
| Aces per service game | 0.23 | 0.38 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.20 | 0.31 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 9% | 21% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 7/13 | 12/25 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 52% | |
| Matches in the sample | 58 | 49 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Gonzalo Villanueva
- 14/10/26LCarlos Maria Zarate#352Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R323:6 7:5 4:6
- 05/10/26LNick Hardt#297Challenger Antofagasta · R325:7 6:3 5:7
- 02/10/26LGuido Ivan Justo#184Challenger Curitiba · QF2:6 4:6
- 01/10/26WMateus Alves#399Challenger Curitiba · R166:2 6:3
- 29/09/26WJuan Carlos Prado Angelo#177Challenger Curitiba · R323:6 6:3 6:4
- 21/09/26LGuido Ivan Justo#184Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R324:6 6:3 1:6
- 23/07/26LMatteo Martineau#243Challenger Segovia · R163:6 6:7
- 21/07/26WIlya Ivashka#221Challenger Segovia · R326:3 6:3
- 18/07/26LMax Alcala Gurri#132Challenger Cordenons · SF6:4 5:7 2:6
- 17/07/26WStefano Napolitano#273Challenger Cordenons · QF6:3 7:6
Miguel Tobon
- 09/10/26LJuan Carlos Prado Angelo#177Challenger Antofagasta · QF2:6 2:6
- 08/10/26WTomas Barrios Vera#155Challenger Antofagasta · R163:6 7:6 7:6
- 06/10/26WThiago Cigarran#587Challenger Antofagasta · R324:6 6:4 6:1
- 29/09/26LJuan Bautista Torres#298Challenger Curitiba · R322:6 6:3 1:6
- 10/09/26LEdas Butvilas#209Challenger Istanbul 3 · R166:7 1:6
- 08/09/26WKoray KirciChallenger Istanbul 3 · R326:3 6:3
- 27/08/26LRodrigo Pacheco Mendez#263Challenger Kingston 2 · QF2:6 4:6
- 26/08/26WJuan Pablo Ficovich#369Challenger Kingston 2 · R166:3 6:1
- 25/08/26WPietro Orlando Fellin#618Challenger Kingston 2 · R326:2 6:1
- 17/08/26LPaulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos#426Challenger Kingston · Q26:7 2:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| G. Villanueva | M. Tobon | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 2–250% | 9–950% |
| Clay | 29–2554% | 14–1745% |
Head to head
G. Villanueva 1–0 M. Tobon
- 20/10/25Winner: Gonzalo Villanueva6:0 6:0