WTA 125 CuritibaRound of 16claybest of three sets
Romero Gormaz vs Vergara Rivera: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1h 24mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Leyre Romero Gormaz94%
Antonia Vergara Rivera6%
Elo: L. Romero Gormaz 80% · A. Vergara Rivera 20%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 L. Romero Gormaz82%
2:1 L. Romero Gormaz13%
2:1 A. Vergara Rivera3%
2:0 A. Vergara Rivera3%
First set
Leyre Romero Gormaz90%
Antonia Vergara Rivera10%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes16%
no84%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 17.0 · 46%market (no margin): 48%
The 17.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 18.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.5 | 89% | 11% | 97% |
| 14.5 | 79% | 21% | 93% |
| 15.5 | 66% | 34% | 86% |
| 16.5 | 54% | 46% | 78% |
| 17.5 | 43% | 58% | 69% |
| 18.5 | 34% | 66% | 60% |
| 19.5 | 28% | 72% | 52% |
Sample: 540 matches
Games handicap
L. Romero Gormaz −7.548%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes11%
tour average 20%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Romero Gormaz | Tour | A. Vergara Rivera | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 55% | 56% | 51% |
| Return points won | 47% | 44% | 45% |
| Service games held | 63% | 63% | 51% |
| Breaks of serve | 45% | 37% | 38% |
| Aces per service game | 0.21 | 0.12 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.41 | 0.27 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 9% | 6% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 2/11 | 1/1 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 67% | |
| Matches in the sample | 50 | 8 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Leyre Romero Gormaz
- 26/10/26WJulia Konishi Camargo Silva#680WTA 125 Curitiba · R326:2 6:1
- 18/10/26LClara Burel#151WTA 125 Lisbon · F4:6 3:6
- 17/10/26WDalma Galfi#152WTA 125 Lisbon · SF6:2 6:3
- 16/10/26WFiona Ferro#99WTA 125 Lisbon · QF6:2 6:2
- 15/10/26WRaluca Georgiana Serban#401WTA 125 Lisbon · R166:1 6:2
- 12/10/26WAlice Rame#415WTA 125 Lisbon · R324:6 6:2 7:5
- 23/09/26LJessica Pieri#339WTA 125 Tolentino · R166:3 4:6 1:6
- 21/09/26WPolona Hercog#206WTA 125 Tolentino · R326:7 6:1 7:6
- 15/09/26LMartina Trevisan#301WTA 125 Valencia · R326:1 2:6 4:6
- 09/09/26LAlevtina Ibragimova#171WTA 125 Antalya 4 · R165:7 1:6
Antonia Vergara Rivera
- 26/10/26WEduarda GomesWTA 125 Curitiba · R326:3 6:4
- 12/09/26LJustina Mikulskyte#234WTA Sao Paulo · Q12:6 3:6
- 07/09/26LCarolina Alves#309WTA 125 Barranquilla · Q12:6 4:6
- 19/11/25LLaura Pigossi#247WTA 125 Colina · R321:6 1:6
- 07/11/25LMaiar Sherif Ahmed Abdelaziz#56WTA 125 Tucuman · QF1:6 2:6
- 05/11/25WLuisina Giovannini#199WTA 125 Tucuman · R167:6 2:6 6:1
- 03/11/25WMaria Carle#239WTA 125 Tucuman · R326:2 6:4
- 28/10/25LPanna Udvardy#78WTA 125 Cali · R323:6 3:6
- 27/10/25WKatarina Jokic#702WTA 125 Cali · Q26:2 5:7 6:3
- 26/10/25WIsabella Ascencio JaramilloWTA 125 Cali · Q16:0 6:0
Elo over the last year
Leyre Romero GormazAntonia Vergara Rivera
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Romero Gormaz | A. Vergara Rivera | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 3–538% | 0–20% |
| Clay | 26–1563% | 3–350% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Leyre Romero Gormaz
- 26/10/26WJulia Konishi Camargo Silva#680WTA 125 Curitiba · R326:2 6:1
Antonia Vergara Rivera
- 26/10/26WEduarda GomesWTA 125 Curitiba · R326:3 6:4