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WTA 125 CaliRound of 16claybest of three sets

Tubello vs Bassols Ribera: prediction and tips

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Alice TubelloWTA #152Elo 1706clay 1730
-:-
Marina Bassols RiberaWTA #125Elo 1671clay 1683

Our tips

Tip in 8m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Alice Tubello59%
Marina Bassols Ribera42%

Elo: A. Tubello 57% · M. Bassols Ribera 43%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Tubello35%
2:1 A. Tubello22%
2:1 M. Bassols Ribera17%
2:0 M. Bassols Ribera26%

First set

Alice Tubello52%
Marina Bassols Ribera48%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 48%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.567%33%59%
19.559%41%52%
20.552%48%45%
21.548%52%41%
22.543%57%37%
23.539%61%33%
24.537%64%31%

Sample: 1,545 matches

Games handicap

A. Tubello −1.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 20%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. TubelloTourM. Bassols Ribera
Service points won55%56%55%
Return points won46%44%47%
Service games held61%63%62%
Breaks of serve41%37%44%
Aces per service game0.080.07
Double faults per game0.240.43
Sets with a tie-break8%10%
Tie-breaks won3/56/11
Wins in straight sets64%79%
Matches in the sample2750

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Alice Tubello

Marina Bassols Ribera

Elo over the last year

Alice TubelloMarina Bassols Ribera

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. TubelloM. Bassols Ribera
Hard court0–20%8–947%
Clay14–1058%18–1260%
Grass0–10%2–167%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Alice Tubello

Marina Bassols Ribera