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WTA 125 CaliRound of 32claybest of three sets

Masarova vs Tubello 0:2: result and our tips

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Rebeka MasarovaWTA #157Elo 1690clay 1688
0:2final3:6 0:6
Alice TubelloWTA #152Elo 1674clay 1701

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Lost66%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Masarova 17 of 20, Tubello 13 of 20 (tour average 59%); Masarova: 7 matches in a row over 18.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Lost39%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Masarova 13 of 20, Tubello 9 of 20 (tour average 33%); Masarova: 3 matches in a row over 23.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Rebeka Masarova53%
Alice Tubello47%

Elo: R. Masarova 48% · A. Tubello 52%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 R. Masarova32%
2:1 R. Masarova21%
2:1 A. Tubello19%
2:0 A. Tubello28%

First set

Rebeka Masarova51%
Alice Tubello49%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.566%34%59%
19.559%41%52%
20.553%48%45%
21.549%51%41%
22.544%57%37%
23.539%61%33%
24.536%64%31%

Sample: 1,435 matches

Games handicap

R. Masarova −0.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 15 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Rebeka MasarovaAlice Tubello
3Aces1
2Double faults1
67%First serves in80%
54%First-serve points won64%
29%Second-serve points won67%
0/6Break points converted4/11
3/7Service games held8/8
46%Service points won64%
36%Return points won54%
45Total points won66

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

R. MasarovaTourA. Tubello
Service points won60%56%54%
Return points won42%44%46%
Service games held72%63%60%
Breaks of serve31%37%41%
Aces per service game0.450.08
Double faults per game0.400.25
Sets with a tie-break8%8%
Tie-breaks won4/113/5
Wins in straight sets39%62%
Matches in the sample5226

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Rebeka Masarova

Alice Tubello

Elo over the last year

Rebeka MasarovaAlice Tubello

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

R. MasarovaA. Tubello
Hard court8–1044%0–20%
Clay13–1154%13–1057%
Grass7–370%0–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Upcoming matches

See also