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WTA 125 CaliRound of 16claybest of three sets

Burillo Escorihuela vs Giovannini: prediction and tips

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Irene Burillo EscorihuelaWTA #219Elo 1591clay 1615
-:-
Luisina GiovanniniWTA #191Elo 1568clay 1595

Our tips

Tip in 6m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Irene Burillo Escorihuela38%
Luisina Giovannini62%

Elo: I. Burillo Escorihuela 53% · L. Giovannini 47%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 I. Burillo Escorihuela25%
2:1 I. Burillo Escorihuela17%
2:1 L. Giovannini22%
2:0 L. Giovannini36%

First set

Irene Burillo Escorihuela46%
Luisina Giovannini54%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 53%market (no margin): 49%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.567%33%59%
19.560%40%52%
20.553%48%45%
21.549%51%41%
22.543%57%37%
23.539%61%33%
24.536%64%31%

Sample: 1,524 matches

Games handicap

L. Giovannini −2.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 20%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

I. Burillo EscorihuelaTourL. Giovannini
Service points won51%56%56%
Return points won47%44%46%
Service games held53%63%64%
Breaks of serve43%37%40%
Aces per service game0.070.17
Double faults per game0.290.26
Sets with a tie-break6%15%
Tie-breaks won3/41/7
Wins in straight sets33%64%
Matches in the sample2521

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Irene Burillo Escorihuela

Luisina Giovannini

Elo over the last year

Irene Burillo EscorihuelaLuisina Giovannini

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

I. Burillo EscorihuelaL. Giovannini
Hard court0–30%0–20%
Clay12–1055%11–761%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Irene Burillo Escorihuela

Luisina Giovannini