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WTA 125 CaliRound of 32claybest of three sets

Kalieva vs Burillo Escorihuela 0:2: result and our tips

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Elvina KalievaWTA #120Elo 1694clay 1627
0:2final5:7 2:6
Irene Burillo EscorihuelaWTA #219Elo 1559clay 1589

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won66%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Kalieva 15 of 20, Burillo Escorihuela 15 of 20 (tour average 59%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 22.5Lost44%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 22.5 games in recent matches: Kalieva 9 of 20, Burillo Escorihuela 13 of 20 (tour average 37%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Elvina Kalieva53%
Irene Burillo Escorihuela47%

Elo: E. Kalieva 55% · I. Burillo Escorihuela 45%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 E. Kalieva32%
2:1 E. Kalieva21%
2:1 I. Burillo Escorihuela19%
2:0 I. Burillo Escorihuela28%

First set

Elvina Kalieva51%
Irene Burillo Escorihuela49%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 49%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.566%34%59%
19.559%41%52%
20.553%48%45%
21.549%51%41%
22.544%56%37%
23.539%61%33%
24.536%64%31%

Sample: 1,431 matches

Games handicap

E. Kalieva −0.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Over 21.0out · 20 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Elvina KalievaIrene Burillo Escorihuela
0Aces1
8Double faults4
60%First serves in65%
46%First-serve points won46%
41%Second-serve points won66%
4/7Break points converted7/13
3/10Service games held6/10
44%Service points won53%
47%Return points won56%
72Total points won86

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

E. KalievaTourI. Burillo Escorihuela
Service points won58%56%51%
Return points won44%44%47%
Service games held65%63%53%
Breaks of serve36%37%42%
Aces per service game0.350.07
Double faults per game0.350.29
Sets with a tie-break12%7%
Tie-breaks won8/153/4
Wins in straight sets55%27%
Matches in the sample5424

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Elvina Kalieva

Irene Burillo Escorihuela

Elo over the last year

Elvina KalievaIrene Burillo Escorihuela

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

E. KalievaI. Burillo Escorihuela
Hard court20–1361%0–30%
Clay9–756%11–1052%
Grass2–340%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Upcoming matches

See also