WTA 125 CaliRound of 16claybest of three sets
Jeanjean vs Alves: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 8mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Leolia Jeanjean81%
Carolina Alves19%
Elo: L. Jeanjean 91% · C. Alves 9%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 L. Jeanjean61%
2:1 L. Jeanjean21%
2:1 C. Alves10%
2:0 C. Alves9%
First set
Leolia Jeanjean75%
Carolina Alves25%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes30%
no70%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.5 · 53%market (no margin): 50%
The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.0
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.5 | 75% | 25% | 77% |
| 17.5 | 66% | 34% | 68% |
| 18.5 | 54% | 46% | 59% |
| 19.5 | 47% | 53% | 52% |
| 20.5 | 40% | 60% | 45% |
| 21.5 | 37% | 63% | 41% |
| 22.5 | 33% | 67% | 37% |
Sample: 966 matches
Games handicap
L. Jeanjean −5.552%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes18%
tour average 20%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Jeanjean | Tour | C. Alves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 57% | 56% | 51% |
| Return points won | 44% | 44% | 47% |
| Service games held | 66% | 63% | 52% |
| Breaks of serve | 35% | 37% | 42% |
| Aces per service game | 0.19 | 0.13 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.36 | 0.33 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 13% | 23% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 12/20 | 1/6 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 44% | 100% | |
| Matches in the sample | 61 | 12 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Leolia Jeanjean
- 02/11/26WLucia Bronzetti#134WTA 125 Cali · R326:7 6:4 6:3
- 27/10/26LCarole Monnet#218WTA 125 Querétaro · R324:6 1:6
- 07/10/26LMariam Bolkvadze#312WTA 125 Samsun · R323:6 1:6
- 04/10/26WLois Boisson#258WTA 125 Adana · F7:6 4:6 6:4
- 03/10/26WAntonia Ruzic#81WTA 125 Adana · SF4:6 6:1 6:3
- 02/10/26WLucrezia Stefanini#117WTA 125 Adana · QF6:4 1:6 6:1
- 30/09/26WMelisa Ercan#598WTA 125 Adana · R163:6 7:5 6:4
- 28/09/26WSuzan Lamens#189WTA 125 Adana · R324:6 6:3 6:2
- 11/09/26LClaire Liu#102WTA 125 Barranquilla · SF2:6 4:6
- 10/09/26WCarol Young Suh Lee#153WTA 125 Barranquilla · QF6:1 7:6
Carolina Alves
- 02/11/26WMaria Paulina Perez GarciaWTA 125 Cali · R326:1 6:0
- 27/10/26LJulia Grabher#112WTA 125 Curitiba · R325:7 6:7
- 16/09/26LSuzan Lamens#189WTA Sao Paulo · R326:3 6:7 2:6
- 08/09/26LLeolia Jeanjean#91WTA 125 Barranquilla · R322:6 6:7
- 07/09/26WAntonia Vergara Rivera#433WTA 125 Barranquilla · Q16:2 6:4
- 16/05/26LLisa Zaar#291WTA Rabat · Q11:6 5:7
- 26/04/26LWeronika Falkowska#277WTA 125 Saint-Malo · Q14:6 3:6
- 22/02/26LMartina Colmegna#396WTA 125 Antalya · Q14:6 6:7
- 02/12/25LVarvara Lepchenko#199WTA 125 Quito · R326:7 7:6 2:6
- 24/11/25LPanna Udvardy#86WTA 125 Buenos Aires · R320:6 0:6
Elo over the last year
Leolia JeanjeanCarolina Alves
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Jeanjean | C. Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 14–1254% | 1–233% |
| Clay | 18–1260% | 2–722% |
| Grass | 4–180% | 0–0 |
Head to head
L. Jeanjean 1–0 C. Alves
- 08/09/26Winner: L. Jeanjean6:2 7:6
Road through the tournament
Leolia Jeanjean
- 02/11/26WLucia Bronzetti#134WTA 125 Cali · R326:7 6:4 6:3
Carolina Alves
- 02/11/26WMaria Paulina Perez GarciaWTA 125 Cali · R326:1 6:0