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WTA 125 CaliRound of 32claybest of three sets

Alves vs Perez Garcia 2:0: result and our tips

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Carolina AlvesWTA #308Elo 1319clay 1318
2:0final6:1 6:0

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Carolina Alves96%
Maria Paulina Perez Garcia4%

Elo: C. Alves 63% · M. Perez Garcia 37%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Alves86%
2:1 C. Alves10%
2:1 M. Perez Garcia2%
2:0 M. Perez Garcia2%

First set

Carolina Alves92%
Maria Paulina Perez Garcia8%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes13%
no87%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 15.5 · 60%market (no margin): 49%

The 15.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 17.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
13.584%16%97%
14.573%27%93%
15.560%40%86%
16.548%52%78%
17.536%64%69%
18.528%72%60%
19.523%77%52%

Sample: 469 matches

Games handicap

C. Alves −7.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes8%

tour average 20%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 15.5out · 13 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Carolina AlvesMaria Paulina Perez Garcia
2Aces1
1Double faults3
60%First serves in61%
83%First-serve points won37%
75%Second-serve points won32%
6/13Break points converted0/0
6/6Service games held1/7
80%Service points won35%
65%Return points won20%
56Total points won23

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. AlvesTourM. Perez Garcia
Service points won50%56%—
Return points won46%44%—
Service games held50%63%—
Breaks of serve40%37%—
Aces per service game0.12—
Double faults per game0.34—
Sets with a tie-break25%—
Tie-breaks won1/6—
Wins in straight sets100%—
Matches in the sample11—

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Carolina Alves

Maria Paulina Perez Garcia

  • 08/09/26LEmiliana Arango#171WTA 125 Barranquilla · R320:6 2:6
  • 27/10/25LYuliana LizarazoWTA 125 Cali · R320:6 1:6
  • 14/10/25LCarolina Alves#308WTA 125 Rio de Janeiro · R321:6 1:6
  • 12/10/25WMaria Florencia Urrutia#439WTA 125 Rio de Janeiro · Q14:5
  • 04/11/24LRobin Montgomery#151WTA 125 Cali · R323:6 0:6
  • 13/08/24LAnastasiia Sobolieva#163WTA 125 Barranquilla · R321:6 0:6
  • 30/03/24LIryna Shymanovich#226WTA Bogota · Q16:3 1:6 0:6
  • 14/08/23LAnna-Karolina SchmiedlovaWTA 125 Barranquilla · R326:4 6:7 3:6
  • 31/01/23LXiaodi You#215WTA 125 Cali · R320:6 4:6
  • 02/04/22LValentini Grammatikopoulou#496WTA Bogota · Q13:6 3:6

Elo over the last year

Carolina AlvesMaria Paulina Perez Garcia

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. AlvesM. Perez Garcia
Hard court1–233%0–10%
Clay1–713%0–0

Head to head

C. Alves 1–0 M. Perez Garcia

  • 14/10/25Winner: C. Alves6:1 6:1

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