WTA 125 CaliRound of 16claybest of three sets
Samson vs Monnet: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 14mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Laura Samson61%
Carole Monnet39%
Elo: L. Samson 57% · C. Monnet 44%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 L. Samson36%
2:1 L. Samson22%
2:1 C. Monnet17%
2:0 C. Monnet25%
First set
Laura Samson54%
Carole Monnet46%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 50%
The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 67% | 33% | 59% |
| 19.5 | 60% | 40% | 52% |
| 20.5 | 52% | 48% | 45% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 52% | 41% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 37% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 33% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 31% |
Sample: 1,534 matches
Games handicap
L. Samson −2.549%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes23%
tour average 20%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Samson | Tour | C. Monnet | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 54% | 56% | 51% |
| Return points won | 47% | 44% | 48% |
| Service games held | 61% | 63% | 51% |
| Breaks of serve | 41% | 37% | 46% |
| Aces per service game | 0.21 | 0.11 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.53 | 0.54 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 12% | 13% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 6/12 | 9/16 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 71% | |
| Matches in the sample | 45 | 54 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Laura Samson
- 02/11/26WYuliana LizarazoWTA 125 Cali · R326:4 6:3
- 26/10/26LAlice Tubello#152WTA 125 Curitiba · R320:6 4:6
- 18/10/26LAriana Geerlings Martinez#298WTA 125 Mallorca · F2:6 2:6
- 17/10/26WTamara Zidansek#139WTA 125 Mallorca · SF6:1 1:6 6:3
- 16/10/26WAndrea Lazaro Garcia#140WTA 125 Mallorca · QF6:0
- 15/10/26WLucie Nguyen Tan#366WTA 125 Mallorca · R166:0 6:3
- 12/10/26WAran Teixido Garcia#338WTA 125 Mallorca · R326:3 2:6 6:3
- 21/09/26LNoemi Basiletti#236WTA 125 Tolentino · R323:6 4:6
- 19/09/26LSamira de Stefano#186WTA 125 Ljubljana · SF3:6 6:1 4:6
- 18/09/26WAnastasiia Sobolieva#163WTA 125 Ljubljana · QF6:4 6:1
Carole Monnet
- 03/11/26WMaria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez#709WTA 125 Cali · R326:1 6:0
- 01/11/26LBianca Andreescu#109WTA 125 Querétaro · SF3:6 5:7
- 30/10/26WNadia Podoroska#188WTA 125 Querétaro · QF2:6 6:3 6:2
- 28/10/26WCarmen Andreea Herea#451WTA 125 Querétaro · R166:2 6:1
- 27/10/26WLeolia Jeanjean#91WTA 125 Querétaro · R326:4 6:1
- 14/10/26LElizara Yaneva#138WTA 125 Mallorca · R162:6 2:6
- 13/10/26WDaria Yesypchuk#467WTA 125 Mallorca · R326:2 6:2
- 06/10/26LLucrezia Stefanini#117WTA 125 Samsun · R325:7 4:6
- 29/09/26LCagla Buyukakcay#435WTA 125 Adana · R326:2 3:6 6:7
- 24/09/26LAnastasia Gasanova#204WTA 125 Ankara · R162:6 1:6
Elo over the last year
Laura SamsonCarole Monnet
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Samson | C. Monnet | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–50% | 4–1029% |
| Clay | 26–1367% | 20–1853% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 0–20% |
Head to head
L. Samson 2–0 C. Monnet
- 25/11/25Winner: L. Samson2:6 6:2 6:3
- 21/11/25Winner: L. Samson1:6 6:2 7:5
Road through the tournament
Laura Samson
- 02/11/26WYuliana LizarazoWTA 125 Cali · R326:4 6:3
Carole Monnet
- 03/11/26WMaria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez#709WTA 125 Cali · R326:1 6:0