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WTA 125 CaliRound of 32claybest of three sets

Samson vs Lizarazo 2:0: result and our tips

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Laura SamsonWTA #116Elo 1654clay 1687
2:0final6:4 6:3
Yuliana LizarazoElo 1304clay 1318

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Laura Samson95%
Yuliana Lizarazo5%

Elo: L. Samson 89% · Y. Lizarazo 11%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Samson84%
2:1 L. Samson11%
2:1 Y. Lizarazo3%
2:0 Y. Lizarazo2%

First set

Laura Samson91%
Yuliana Lizarazo9%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes14%
no86%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 16.0 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 16.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 17.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
13.586%14%97%
14.576%24%93%
15.563%37%86%
16.551%49%78%
17.539%61%69%
18.531%69%60%
19.525%75%52%

Sample: 513 matches

Games handicap

L. Samson −7.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes10%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 16.0in · 19 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Laura SamsonYuliana Lizarazo
5Aces0
6Double faults4
58%First serves in55%
70%First-serve points won72%
56%Second-serve points won31%
4/7Break points converted1/6
8/9Service games held6/10
64%Service points won54%
46%Return points won36%
71Total points won58

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. SamsonTourY. Lizarazo
Service points won54%56%—
Return points won47%44%—
Service games held60%63%—
Breaks of serve41%37%—
Aces per service game0.21—
Double faults per game0.53—
Sets with a tie-break12%—
Tie-breaks won6/12—
Wins in straight sets52%—
Matches in the sample44—

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Laura Samson

  • 26/10/26LAlice Tubello#152WTA 125 Curitiba · R320:6 4:6
  • 18/10/26LAriana Geerlings Martinez#298WTA 125 Mallorca · F2:6 2:6
  • 17/10/26WTamara Zidansek#139WTA 125 Mallorca · SF6:1 1:6 6:3
  • 16/10/26WAndrea Lazaro Garcia#140WTA 125 Mallorca · QF6:0
  • 15/10/26WLucie Nguyen Tan#366WTA 125 Mallorca · R166:0 6:3
  • 12/10/26WAran Teixido Garcia#338WTA 125 Mallorca · R326:3 2:6 6:3
  • 21/09/26LNoemi Basiletti#236WTA 125 Tolentino · R323:6 4:6
  • 19/09/26LSamira de Stefano#186WTA 125 Ljubljana · SF3:6 6:1 4:6
  • 18/09/26WAnastasiia Sobolieva#163WTA 125 Ljubljana · QF6:4 6:1
  • 16/09/26WWeronika Falkowska#277WTA 125 Ljubljana · R166:7 6:0 6:3

Yuliana Lizarazo

Elo over the last year

Laura SamsonYuliana Lizarazo

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. SamsonY. Lizarazo
Hard court0–50%0–0
Clay25–1366%0–10%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.