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WTA 125 QuerétaroQuarterfinalclaybest of three setsqualifying

Podoroska vs Monnet 1:2: result and our tips

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Nadia PodoroskaWTA #188Elo 1721clay 1651
1:2final6:2 3:6 2:6
Carole MonnetWTA #218Elo 1607clay 1634

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Lost61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Monnet: 5 matches in a row without a deciding set

Other tips

  • Match Winner: PodoroskaLost63%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 63%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Podoroska won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Under 18.5Lost33%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Monnet: 4 matches in a row under 18.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Nadia Podoroska64%
Carole Monnet36%

Elo: N. Podoroska 52% · C. Monnet 48%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 N. Podoroska37%
2:1 N. Podoroska22%
2:1 C. Monnet17%
2:0 C. Monnet24%

First set

Nadia Podoroska55%
Carole Monnet45%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 49%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.567%33%59%
19.560%40%52%
20.553%48%45%
21.549%52%41%
22.543%57%37%
23.539%62%33%
24.536%64%31%

Sample: 1,494 matches

Games handicap

N. Podoroska −2.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 21.0in · 25 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Nadia PodoroskaCarole Monnet
—Aces—
9Double faults10
78%First serves in68%
51%First-serve points won55%
35%Second-serve points won31%
7/15Break points converted8/12
4/12Service games held6/13
47%Service points won47%
53%Return points won53%
80Total points won79

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

N. PodoroskaTourC. Monnet
Service points won56%56%51%
Return points won45%44%48%
Service games held65%63%51%
Breaks of serve38%37%45%
Aces per service game0.200.12
Double faults per game0.520.54
Sets with a tie-break5%13%
Tie-breaks won2/29/16
Wins in straight sets67%73%
Matches in the sample1651

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Nadia Podoroska

Carole Monnet

Elo over the last year

Nadia PodoroskaCarole Monnet

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

N. PodoroskaC. Monnet
Hard court7–464%4–1029%
Clay2–250%18–1751%
Grass0–10%0–20%

Head to head

N. Podoroska 1–0 C. Monnet

  • 02/02/23Winner: N. Podoroska4:6 6:3 6:1

Road through the tournament

Nadia Podoroska

Carole Monnet

See also