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WTA 125 QuerétaroRound of 16claybest of three sets

Podoroska vs Bulgaru: prediction and tips

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Nadia PodoroskaWTA #201Elo 1714clay 1638
-:-
Miriam Bianca BulgaruWTA #377Elo 1497clay 1507

Our tips

Tip in 1d 1h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Nadia Podoroska75%
Miriam Bianca Bulgaru25%

Elo: N. Podoroska 68% · M. Bulgaru 32%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 N. Podoroska53%
2:1 N. Podoroska22%
2:1 M. Bulgaru12%
2:0 M. Bulgaru13%

First set

Nadia Podoroska68%
Miriam Bianca Bulgaru32%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 19.5 · 52%market (no margin): 50%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.580%20%77%
17.570%30%68%
18.561%39%59%
19.552%48%52%
20.546%54%45%
21.543%57%41%
22.538%62%37%

Sample: 1,164 matches

Games handicap

N. Podoroska −4.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes19%

tour average 20%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

N. PodoroskaTourM. Bulgaru
Service points won55%56%52%
Return points won45%44%44%
Service games held64%63%54%
Breaks of serve36%37%38%
Aces per service game0.200.13
Double faults per game0.510.39
Sets with a tie-break5%5%
Tie-breaks won2/22/3
Wins in straight sets63%70%
Matches in the sample1526

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Nadia Podoroska

Miriam Bianca Bulgaru

  • 28/10/26WDasha Plekhanova#969WTA 125 Querétaro · R326:1 6:1
  • 16/09/26LMia Ristic#182WTA 125 Ljubljana · R163:6 3:6
  • 14/09/26WLina Gjorcheska#370WTA 125 Ljubljana · R326:4 1:6 6:2
  • 09/09/26LIrene Burillo Escorihuela#215WTA 125 Antalya 4 · R166:4 3:6 2:6
  • 08/09/26WFederica Urgesi#270WTA 125 Antalya 4 · R321:6 6:3 7:5
  • 28/07/26LCarole Monnet#243WTA 125 Targu Mures · R321:6 3:6
  • 23/07/26LFrancesca Jones#98WTA 125 Palermo · R163:6 2:6
  • 21/07/26WCaijsa Wilda Hennemann#237WTA 125 Palermo · R323:6 6:1 6:2
  • 14/07/26LElena Pridankina#190WTA Iasi · R325:7 1:6
  • 08/07/26LLeyre Romero Gormaz#131WTA 125 Bastad · R163:6 3:6

Elo over the last year

Nadia PodoroskaMiriam Bianca Bulgaru

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

N. PodoroskaM. Bulgaru
Hard court7–464%1–325%
Clay1–233%9–1341%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Nadia Podoroska

Miriam Bianca Bulgaru