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WTA 125 QuerétaroRound of 32claybest of three sets

Podoroska vs Rame 2:0: result and our tips

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Nadia PodoroskaWTA #201Elo 1708clay 1624
2:0final6:4 6:3
Alice RameWTA #415Elo 1454clay 1489

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won60%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Podoroska: 7 matches in a row over 18.5 games; Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Podoroska 11 of 14, Rame 10 of 15 (tour average 59%)

Other tips

  • 1st Set Winner: PodoroskaWon70%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Podoroska: 5 matches in a row winning the first set

  • Match Winner: PodoroskaWon76%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 76%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Rame lost 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Sets: Over 2.5Lost33%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

A third set in recent matches: Podoroska 7 of 14, Rame 6 of 15 (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Nadia Podoroska76%
Alice Rame24%

Elo: N. Podoroska 68% · A. Rame 32%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 N. Podoroska55%
2:1 N. Podoroska22%
2:1 A. Rame11%
2:0 A. Rame12%

First set

Nadia Podoroska69%
Alice Rame31%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.0 · 49%market (no margin): 52%

The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.579%21%77%
17.569%31%68%
18.560%40%59%
19.551%49%52%
20.545%55%45%
21.542%58%41%
22.537%63%37%

Sample: 1,125 matches

Games handicap

N. Podoroska −5.545%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes18%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 20.0in · 19 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Nadia PodoroskaAlice Rame
—Aces—
7Double faults4
51%First serves in60%
58%First-serve points won41%
32%Second-serve points won35%
8/13Break points converted5/7
4/9Service games held2/10
45%Service points won39%
62%Return points won55%
63Total points won53

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

N. PodoroskaTourA. Rame
Service points won56%56%53%
Return points won44%44%42%
Service games held65%63%56%
Breaks of serve34%37%33%
Aces per service game0.210.10
Double faults per game0.500.26
Sets with a tie-break6%5%
Tie-breaks won2/20/2
Wins in straight sets57%67%
Matches in the sample1416

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Nadia Podoroska

Alice Rame

Elo over the last year

Nadia PodoroskaAlice Rame

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

N. PodoroskaA. Rame
Hard court7–464%0–30%
Clay0–20%3–925%
Grass0–10%0–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

See also