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WTA 125 QuerétaroRound of 32claybest of three sets

Monnet vs Jeanjean 2:0: result and our tips

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Carole MonnetWTA #243Elo 1562clay 1590
2:0final6:4 6:1
Leolia JeanjeanWTA #90Elo 1778clay 1748

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Lost63%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Monnet 13 of 20, Jeanjean 17 of 20 (tour average 59%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: JeanjeanLost73%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 73%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Jeanjean won 8 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Over 21.5Lost44%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 21.5 games in recent matches: Monnet 10 of 20, Jeanjean 13 of 20 (tour average 41%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Carole Monnet29%
Leolia Jeanjean71%

Elo: C. Monnet 29% · L. Jeanjean 71%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Monnet17%
2:1 C. Monnet15%
2:1 L. Jeanjean23%
2:0 L. Jeanjean46%

First set

Carole Monnet37%
Leolia Jeanjean63%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 50%market (no margin): 49%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.573%27%68%
18.566%35%59%
19.557%43%52%
20.550%50%45%
21.546%54%42%
22.541%59%37%
23.537%63%33%

Sample: 1,290 matches

Games handicap

L. Jeanjean −3.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes21%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Over 20.5out · 17 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Carole MonnetLeolia Jeanjean
1Aces1
6Double faults6
74%First serves in57%
71%First-serve points won56%
31%Second-serve points won33%
6/13Break points converted2/9
6/8Service games held3/9
61%Service points won46%
54%Return points won39%
78Total points won59

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. MonnetTourL. Jeanjean
Service points won51%56%57%
Return points won47%44%43%
Service games held50%63%67%
Breaks of serve45%37%34%
Aces per service game0.120.20
Double faults per game0.540.35
Sets with a tie-break14%13%
Tie-breaks won9/1612/19
Wins in straight sets70%46%
Matches in the sample4959

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Carole Monnet

Leolia Jeanjean

Elo over the last year

Carole MonnetLeolia Jeanjean

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. MonnetL. Jeanjean
Hard court4–1029%14–1254%
Clay16–1748%17–1161%
Grass0–20%4–180%

Head to head

C. Monnet 1–1 L. Jeanjean

  • 11/01/24Winner: L. Jeanjean1:6 6:4 2:6
  • 16/08/23Winner: C. Monnet6:2 6:2