Challenger Villa MariaChallenger 50Round of 16claybest of three sets
Coria vs Aboian: prediction and tips
·
Our tips
Tip in 23h 10mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Federico Coria47%
Valerio Aboian54%
Elo: F. Coria 40% · V. Aboian 60%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 F. Coria28%
2:1 F. Coria19%
2:1 V. Aboian20%
2:0 V. Aboian34%
First set
Federico Coria47%
Valerio Aboian53%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%
Total games
Expected total: 22.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 76% | 24% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 67% | 33% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 59% | 41% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 53% | 47% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 47% | 53% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 42% | 58% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 36% |
Sample: 4,552 matches
Games handicap
V. Aboian −1.549%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes22%
tour average 27%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| F. Coria | Tour | V. Aboian | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 58% | 62% | 59% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 42% |
| Service games held | 65% | 76% | 70% |
| Breaks of serve | 25% | 24% | 32% |
| Aces per service game | 0.22 | 0.43 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.24 | 0.19 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 15% | 11% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 4/7 | 8/17 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 43% | 40% | |
| Matches in the sample | 21 | 63 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Federico Coria
- 04/11/26WIvan DreycoppChallenger Villa Maria · R326:3 6:0
- 27/10/26LCamilo Ugo Carabelli#81Challenger Guayaquil · R325:7 2:6
- 21/10/26LNicolas Mejia#115Challenger Cali · R326:7 4:6
- 24/09/26LEduardo Ribeiro#360Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R164:6 5:7
- 22/09/26WLucio Ratti#371Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R326:7 6:3 7:5
- 25/08/26LClement Chidekh#131ATP US Open · Q12:6 2:6
- 28/07/26LFrancesco Forti#322Challenger San Marino · R324:6 2:6
- 18/07/26LVitaliy Sachko#175ATP Kitzbuhel · Q16:7 2:6
- 12/07/26LTaro Daniel#178ATP Bastad · Q10:6 2:6
- 09/07/26LGuy Den Ouden#316Challenger Liege · R166:2 2:6 3:6
Valerio Aboian
- 03/11/26WAlan Magadan#496Challenger Villa Maria · R324:6 6:1 6:1
- 31/10/26LHugo Dellien#107Challenger Guayaquil · SF6:7 2:6
- 30/10/26WNick Hardt#296Challenger Guayaquil · QF6:2 1:6 7:6
- 29/10/26WDiego Dedura#188Challenger Guayaquil · R167:6 7:6
- 27/10/26WFranco Roncadelli#261Challenger Guayaquil · R326:3 2:6 6:2
- 25/10/26LMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida#197Challenger Cali · F6:7 3:6
- 24/10/26WFelipe Meligeni Alves#348Challenger Cali · SF3:6 6:3 7:5
- 23/10/26WMiguel Tobon#432Challenger Cali · QF1:6 7:6 6:2
- 22/10/26WMatias Soto#260Challenger Cali · R166:2 6:2
- 21/10/26WFacundo Mena#196Challenger Cali · R322:6 6:3 6:4
Elo over the last year
Federico CoriaValerio Aboian
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| F. Coria | V. Aboian | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–10% | 0–0 |
| Clay | 6–1233% | 38–2560% |
| Grass | 1–150% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Federico Coria
- 04/11/26WIvan DreycoppChallenger Villa Maria · R326:3 6:0
Valerio Aboian
- 03/11/26WAlan Magadan#496Challenger Villa Maria · R324:6 6:1 6:1