Roncadelli vs Aboian 1:2: result and our tips
·
Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: F. Roncadelli 47% · V. Aboian 53%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 72% | 28% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 64% | 36% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 57% | 43% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 51% | 49% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 44% | 56% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 40% | 60% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 38% | 62% | 36% |
Sample: 4,829 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Under 21.5out · 25 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Franco Roncadelli | Valerio Aboian | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aces | 2 |
| 2 | Double faults | 0 |
| 73% | First serves in | 51% |
| 49% | First-serve points won | 61% |
| 52% | Second-serve points won | 49% |
| 5/9 | Break points converted | 6/11 |
| 6/12 | Service games held | 8/13 |
| 50% | Service points won | 55% |
| 45% | Return points won | 50% |
| 81 | Total points won | 89 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| F. Roncadelli | Tour | V. Aboian | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 58% | 62% | 59% |
| Return points won | 44% | 38% | 41% |
| Service games held | 66% | 76% | 70% |
| Breaks of serve | 38% | 24% | 31% |
| Aces per service game | 0.08 | 0.43 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.12 | 0.19 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 11% | 9% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 8/15 | 5/13 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 41% | |
| Matches in the sample | 61 | 58 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Franco Roncadelli
- 16/10/26LJuan Manuel La Serna#251Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · QF1:6 7:6 4:6
- 15/10/26WJuan Carlos Prado Angelo#198Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R166:4 2:6 6:3
- 13/10/26WValerio Aboian#283Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R325:7 6:0 6:3
- 06/10/26LTomas Barrios Vera#156Challenger Antofagasta · R324:6 2:6
- 30/09/26LGuido Ivan Justo#182Challenger Curitiba · R326:7 2:6
- 24/09/26LPedro Boscardin Dias#296Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R166:0 6:7 3:6
- 22/09/26WBruno Fernandez#553Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R326:2 6:0
- 24/08/26LElias Ymer#227ATP US Open · Q14:6 3:6
- 30/07/26LNorbert Gombos#370Challenger Liberec · R165:7 5:7
- 28/07/26WJakub Nicod#767Challenger Liberec · R326:3 6:2
Valerio Aboian
- 25/10/26LMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida#196Challenger Cali · F6:7 3:6
- 24/10/26WFelipe Meligeni Alves#344Challenger Cali · SF3:6 6:3 7:5
- 23/10/26WMiguel Tobon#444Challenger Cali · QF1:6 7:6 6:2
- 22/10/26WMatias Soto#260Challenger Cali · R166:2 6:2
- 21/10/26WFacundo Mena#193Challenger Cali · R322:6 6:3 6:4
- 13/10/26LFranco Roncadelli#259Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R327:5 0:6 3:6
- 05/10/26LGenaro Alberto Olivieri#257Challenger Antofagasta · R321:6 4:6
- 24/09/26LJuan Carlos Prado Angelo#198Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R162:6 1:6
- 22/09/26WGenaro Alberto Olivieri#257Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R321:6 6:2 6:3
- 21/09/26WMatias Franco DescotteChallenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q26:1 6:7 6:4
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| F. Roncadelli | V. Aboian | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–10% | 0–0 |
| Clay | 34–2558% | 34–2459% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 0–0 |
Head to head
F. Roncadelli 1–0 V. Aboian
- 13/10/26Winner: F. Roncadelli5:7 6:0 6:3