Challenger CaliChallenger 75Round of 16claybest of three sets
Aboian vs Soto: prediction and tips
·
Our tips
Tip in 11h 28mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Valerio Aboian39%
Matias Soto61%
Elo: V. Aboian 46% · M. Soto 54%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 V. Aboian22%
2:1 V. Aboian16%
2:1 M. Soto22%
2:0 M. Soto40%
First set
Valerio Aboian41%
Matias Soto59%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no62%
Total games
Expected total: 22.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 68% | 32% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 60% | 40% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 54% | 46% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 47% | 53% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 42% | 58% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 36% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 34% |
Sample: 4,866 matches
Games handicap
Matias Soto −2.552%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes23%
tour average 27%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| V. Aboian | Tour | M. Soto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 62% | 60% |
| Return points won | 42% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 69% | 76% | 73% |
| Breaks of serve | 32% | 24% | 27% |
| Aces per service game | 0.41 | 0.40 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.20 | 0.35 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 8% | 13% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 4/11 | 9/13 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 42% | 58% | |
| Matches in the sample | 54 | 44 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Valerio Aboian
- 21/10/26WFacundo Mena#198Challenger Cali · R322:6 6:3 6:4
- 13/10/26LFranco Roncadelli#257Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R327:5 0:6 3:6
- 05/10/26LGenaro Alberto Olivieri#255Challenger Antofagasta · R321:6 4:6
- 24/09/26LJuan Carlos Prado Angelo#177Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R162:6 1:6
- 22/09/26WGenaro Alberto Olivieri#255Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R321:6 6:2 6:3
- 21/09/26WMatias Franco DescotteChallenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q26:1 6:7 6:4
- 20/09/26WJulian Cundom#938Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q14:6 6:3 6:2
- 11/09/26LPedro Martinez#125Challenger Genoa · QF1:6 2:6
- 09/09/26WAndrea Pellegrino#144Challenger Genoa · R166:3 6:2
- 08/09/26WJuan Cruz Martin Manzano#371Challenger Genoa · R327:5 2:6 6:1
Matias Soto
- 20/10/26WSamuel Heredia#627Challenger Cali · R327:6 4:6 6:2
- 06/10/26LThiago Seyboth Wild#111Challenger Antofagasta · R323:6 4:6
- 29/09/26LLautaro Midon#189Challenger Curitiba · R323:6 3:6
- 11/09/26LVitaliy Sachko#175Challenger Tulln · QF3:6 6:1 2:6
- 09/09/26WMarvin Moeller#226Challenger Tulln · R166:4 3:6 6:0
- 07/09/26WSandro Kopp#308Challenger Tulln · R327:6 6:2
- 01/09/26LKilian Feldbausch#261Challenger Como · R323:6 2:6
- 26/08/26LMarvin Moeller#226Challenger Augsburg · R163:6 6:7
- 25/08/26WOleksii Krutykh#439Challenger Augsburg · R326:3 6:4
- 18/08/26LRudolf Molleker#522Challenger Prague · R323:6 3:6
Elo over the last year
Valerio AboianMatias Soto
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| V. Aboian | M. Soto | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–0 | 0–20% |
| Clay | 31–2357% | 24–1857% |
Head to head
V. Aboian 0–1 M. Soto
- 27/03/25Winner: Matias Soto6:7 6:3 1:6
Road through the tournament
Valerio Aboian
- 21/10/26WFacundo Mena#198Challenger Cali · R322:6 6:3 6:4
Matias Soto
- 20/10/26WSamuel Heredia#627Challenger Cali · R327:6 4:6 6:2