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Challenger Villa MariaChallenger 50Round of 32claybest of three sets

Coria vs Dreycopp 2:0: result and our tips

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Federico CoriaATP #831Elo 1636clay 1642
2:0final6:3 6:0
Ivan DreycoppElo 1612clay 1614

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Federico Coria80%
Ivan Dreycopp20%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Coria57%
2:1 F. Coria22%
2:1 I. Dreycopp10%
2:0 I. Dreycopp11%

First set

Federico Coria73%
Ivan Dreycopp27%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes32%
no68%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 52%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.575%25%76%
18.565%35%68%
19.555%45%59%
20.548%52%52%
21.544%56%47%
22.537%63%40%
23.533%67%36%

Sample: 2,490 matches

Games handicap

F. Coria −4.555%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 20.5in · 15 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Federico CoriaIvan Dreycopp
—Aces—
1Double faults4
54%First serves in65%
82%First-serve points won40%
47%Second-serve points won37%
6/12Break points converted1/1
6/7Service games held2/8
66%Service points won39%
61%Return points won34%
60Total points won35

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. CoriaTourI. Dreycopp
Service points won57%62%—
Return points won37%38%—
Service games held65%76%—
Breaks of serve23%24%—
Aces per service game0.23—
Double faults per game0.24—
Sets with a tie-break16%—
Tie-breaks won4/7—
Wins in straight sets33%—
Matches in the sample20—

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Federico Coria

Ivan Dreycopp

Elo over the last year

Federico CoriaIvan Dreycopp

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. CoriaI. Dreycopp
Hard court0–10%0–0
Clay5–1229%2–0100%
Grass1–150%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Federico Coria

First match in this tournament.

Ivan Dreycopp