WTA Hong KongWTA 250Round of 16hardbest of three sets
Cirstea vs Stoiana: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 20h 48mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Sorana Cirstea76%
Mary Stoiana24%
Elo: S. Cirstea 72% · M. Stoiana 28%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 S. Cirstea54%
2:1 S. Cirstea21%
2:1 M. Stoiana12%
2:0 M. Stoiana13%
First set
Sorana Cirstea70%
Mary Stoiana30%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no67%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 20.0 · 49%market (no margin): 49%
The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 73% | 28% | 72% |
| 18.5 | 64% | 36% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 56% | 44% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 49% | 51% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 44% | 56% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 38% | 62% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 34% | 66% | 34% |
Sample: 1,691 matches
Games handicap
S. Cirstea −4.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes22%
tour average 22%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| S. Cirstea | Tour | M. Stoiana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 60% | 56% | 57% |
| Return points won | 45% | 44% | 45% |
| Service games held | 72% | 63% | 66% |
| Breaks of serve | 40% | 37% | 37% |
| Aces per service game | 0.38 | 0.13 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.22 | 0.28 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 15% | 13% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 13/20 | 12/17 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 56% | |
| Matches in the sample | 58 | 53 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Sorana Cirstea
- 03/11/26WMaria Timofeeva#70WTA Hong Kong · R327:6 1:6 7:5
- 27/10/26LMaya Joint#90WTA Tokyo · R323:6 6:7
- 21/10/26LSara Bejlek#33WTA Ningbo · R166:7 4:6
- 19/10/26WHan Shi#148WTA Ningbo · R326:3 6:2
- 13/10/26LHanyu Guo#213WTA Wuhan · R646:1 6:7 5:7
- 06/09/26LJessica Pegula#5WTA US Open · R163:6 4:6
- 04/09/26WJasmine Paolini#35WTA US Open · R326:3 6:3
- 02/09/26WDiane Parry#34WTA US Open · R646:2 7:5
- 31/08/26WJulia Grabher#112WTA US Open · R1286:3 6:0
- 19/08/26LJessica Pegula#5WTA Cincinnati · R162:6 6:4 5:7
Mary Stoiana
- 02/11/26WVenus Williams#597WTA Hong Kong · R326:2 6:3
- 23/10/26LKateřina Siniaková#47WTA Osaka · QF1:6 2:6
- 22/10/26WMoyuka Uchijima#123WTA Osaka · R166:2 2:6 6:3
- 20/10/26WOleksandra Oliynykova#62WTA Osaka · R326:2 6:3
- 18/10/26WSayaka Ishii#516WTA Osaka · Q26:4 7:5
- 17/10/26WRinko Matsuda#429WTA Osaka · Q16:3 7:6
- 18/09/26LPaula Badosa#57WTA Sao Paulo · QF4:6 2:6
- 17/09/26WDominika Salkova#128WTA Sao Paulo · R167:6 6:1
- 16/09/26WClaire Liu#102WTA Sao Paulo · R326:3 7:5
- 10/09/26LJulia Riera#137WTA 125 Barranquilla · R166:4 6:7 3:6
Elo over the last year
Sorana CirsteaMary Stoiana
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| S. Cirstea | M. Stoiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 24–1169% | 20–1459% |
| Clay | 14–478% | 4–357% |
| Grass | 3–260% | 8–467% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Sorana Cirstea
- 03/11/26WMaria Timofeeva#70WTA Hong Kong · R327:6 1:6 7:5
Mary Stoiana
- 02/11/26WVenus Williams#597WTA Hong Kong · R326:2 6:3