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WTA Hong KongWTA 250Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Williams vs Stoiana 0:2: result and our tips

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Venus WilliamsWTA #597Elo 1604hard 1593
0:2final2:6 3:6
Mary StoianaWTA #114Elo 1800hard 1766

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Set Betting: Stoiana 2-0Won67%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Williams lost 0-2 in 9 of the last 13 matches, Stoiana won 2-0 in 8 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 21.5Won66%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Williams: 5 matches in a row under 21.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Venus Williams14%
Mary Stoiana86%

Elo: V. Williams 27% · M. Stoiana 73%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 V. Williams6%
2:1 V. Williams6%
2:1 M. Stoiana20%
2:0 M. Stoiana67%

First set

Venus Williams20%
Mary Stoiana80%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes26%
no74%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.0 · 47%market (no margin): 52%

The 19.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
15.584%16%90%
16.573%27%82%
17.563%37%72%
18.553%47%63%
19.545%55%56%
20.537%63%49%
21.534%66%44%

Sample: 1,069 matches

Games handicap

M. Stoiana −5.556%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes17%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 19.0in · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Venus WilliamsMary Stoiana
—Aces—
2Double faults3
69%First serves in69%
50%First-serve points won77%
44%Second-serve points won64%
0/0Break points converted4/8
5/9Service games held8/8
48%Service points won73%
27%Return points won52%
40Total points won63

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

V. WilliamsTourM. Stoiana
Service points won54%56%57%
Return points won38%44%45%
Service games held60%63%66%
Breaks of serve21%37%37%
Aces per service game0.270.13
Double faults per game0.390.27
Sets with a tie-break13%13%
Tie-breaks won2/412/17
Wins in straight sets—53%
Matches in the sample1353

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Venus Williams

Mary Stoiana

Elo over the last year

Venus WilliamsMary Stoiana

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

V. WilliamsM. Stoiana
Hard court0–110%20–1459%
Clay0–10%4–357%
Grass0–10%8–467%

Head to head

They have not met yet.