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WTA 125 CaliRound of 32claybest of three sets

Jeanjean vs Bronzetti 2:1: result and our tips

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Leolia JeanjeanWTA #91Elo 1754clay 1722
2:1final6:7(2) 6:4 6:3
Lucia BronzettiWTA #134Elo 1641clay 1672

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won59%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Jeanjean 16 of 20, Bronzetti 12 of 20 (tour average 52%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.5Won36%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Jeanjean 11 of 20, Bronzetti 6 of 20 (tour average 31%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Leolia Jeanjean55%
Lucia Bronzetti45%

Elo: L. Jeanjean 57% · L. Bronzetti 43%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Jeanjean33%
2:1 L. Jeanjean21%
2:1 L. Bronzetti18%
2:0 L. Bronzetti28%

First set

Leolia Jeanjean51%
Lucia Bronzetti49%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.566%34%59%
19.559%41%52%
20.552%48%45%
21.548%52%41%
22.543%57%37%
23.539%61%33%
24.536%64%31%

Sample: 1,483 matches

Games handicap

L. Jeanjean −1.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 32 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Leolia JeanjeanLucia Bronzetti
0Aces2
10Double faults6
55%First serves in55%
59%First-serve points won56%
47%Second-serve points won38%
9/10Break points converted6/11
9/15Service games held7/16
53%Service points won48%
52%Return points won47%
103Total points won93

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. JeanjeanTourL. Bronzetti
Service points won57%56%55%
Return points won43%44%46%
Service games held66%63%61%
Breaks of serve34%37%41%
Aces per service game0.200.15
Double faults per game0.350.26
Sets with a tie-break13%9%
Tie-breaks won12/197/12
Wins in straight sets46%60%
Matches in the sample6055

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Leolia Jeanjean

Lucia Bronzetti

Elo over the last year

Leolia JeanjeanLucia Bronzetti

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. JeanjeanL. Bronzetti
Hard court14–1254%4–931%
Clay17–1259%24–1562%
Grass4–180%2–167%

Head to head

L. Jeanjean 1–0 L. Bronzetti

  • 03/05/23Winner: L. Jeanjean6:3 6:1