WTA 125 CaliRound of 16claybest of three sets
Romero Gormaz vs Sierra: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 8mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Leyre Romero Gormaz50%
Solana Sierra50%
Elo: L. Romero Gormaz 40% · S. Sierra 61%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 L. Romero Gormaz30%
2:1 L. Romero Gormaz20%
2:1 S. Sierra20%
2:0 S. Sierra30%
First set
Leyre Romero Gormaz50%
Solana Sierra50%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 66% | 34% | 59% |
| 19.5 | 59% | 41% | 52% |
| 20.5 | 52% | 48% | 45% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 41% |
| 22.5 | 44% | 56% | 37% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 33% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 31% |
Sample: 1,385 matches
Games handicap
L. Romero Gormaz −0.549%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes23%
tour average 20%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Romero Gormaz | Tour | S. Sierra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 55% | 56% | 55% |
| Return points won | 47% | 44% | 44% |
| Service games held | 63% | 63% | 61% |
| Breaks of serve | 45% | 37% | 36% |
| Aces per service game | 0.20 | 0.19 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.41 | 0.48 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 9% | 6% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 2/11 | 5/7 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 64% | |
| Matches in the sample | 53 | 50 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Leyre Romero Gormaz
- 02/11/26WPolona Hercog#201WTA 125 Cali · R326:0 6:1
- 30/10/26LJulia Grabher#112WTA 125 Curitiba · QF6:1 4:6 5:7
- 28/10/26WAntonia Vergara Rivera#433WTA 125 Curitiba · R167:5 6:2
- 26/10/26WJulia Konishi Camargo Silva#670WTA 125 Curitiba · R326:2 6:1
- 18/10/26LClara Burel#144WTA 125 Lisbon · F4:6 3:6
- 17/10/26WDalma Galfi#155WTA 125 Lisbon · SF6:2 6:3
- 16/10/26WFiona Ferro#96WTA 125 Lisbon · QF6:2 6:2
- 15/10/26WRaluca Georgiana Serban#385WTA 125 Lisbon · R166:1 6:2
- 12/10/26WAlice Rame#420WTA 125 Lisbon · R324:6 6:2 7:5
- 23/09/26LJessica Pieri#345WTA 125 Tolentino · R166:3 4:6 1:6
Solana Sierra
- 02/11/26WSelena Janicijevic#322WTA 125 Cali · R326:4 6:2
- 30/10/26LJulia Riera#137WTA 125 Curitiba · QF6:1 4:6 5:7
- 28/10/26WGabriela CE#339WTA 125 Curitiba · R167:6 3:6 6:4
- 27/10/26WJustina Maria Gonzalez Daniele#404WTA 125 Curitiba · R326:3 6:1
- 22/09/26LDeniz Dilek#537WTA 125 Ankara · R323:6 3:6
- 17/09/26LSuzan Lamens#189WTA Sao Paulo · R163:6 2:6
- 15/09/26WCadence Brace#305WTA Sao Paulo · R326:4 3:6 6:1
- 30/08/26LElina Svitolina#6WTA US Open · R1281:6 2:6
- 12/08/26LAoi Ito#299WTA Cincinnati · Q11:6 1:6
- 04/08/26LSloane Stephens#113WTA Toronto · R1283:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Leyre Romero GormazSolana Sierra
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Romero Gormaz | S. Sierra | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 3–538% | 7–1532% |
| Clay | 28–1664% | 14–767% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 4–357% |
Head to head
L. Romero Gormaz 1–2 S. Sierra
- 25/06/25Winner: S. Sierra4:6 4:6
- 06/04/25Winner: S. Sierra3:6 4:6
- 07/06/22Winner: L. Romero Gormaz7:5 6:2
Road through the tournament
Leyre Romero Gormaz
- 02/11/26WPolona Hercog#201WTA 125 Cali · R326:0 6:1
Solana Sierra
- 02/11/26WSelena Janicijevic#322WTA 125 Cali · R326:4 6:2