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WTA 125 CaliRound of 32claybest of three sets

Hercog vs Romero Gormaz 0:2: result and our tips

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Polona HercogWTA #201Elo 1621clay 1648
0:2final0:6 1:6
Leyre Romero GormazWTA #131Elo 1662clay 1682

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: Romero GormazWon61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 61%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Romero Gormaz won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
1st Set Winner: HercogLost47%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Hercog: 7 matches in a row winning the first set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Polona Hercog38%
Leyre Romero Gormaz62%

Elo: P. Hercog 45% · L. Romero Gormaz 55%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 P. Hercog25%
2:1 P. Hercog17%
2:1 L. Romero Gormaz22%
2:0 L. Romero Gormaz36%

First set

Polona Hercog46%
Leyre Romero Gormaz54%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 49%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.567%33%59%
19.560%40%52%
20.553%47%45%
21.549%51%41%
22.543%57%37%
23.539%61%33%
24.536%64%31%

Sample: 1,520 matches

Games handicap

L. Romero Gormaz −2.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 21.0out · 13 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Polona HercogLeyre Romero Gormaz
1Aces2
1Double faults5
67%First serves in56%
43%First-serve points won75%
33%Second-serve points won68%
0/4Break points converted5/11
1/6Service games held7/7
40%Service points won72%
28%Return points won60%
30Total points won58

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

P. HercogTourL. Romero Gormaz
Service points won58%56%55%
Return points won46%44%47%
Service games held67%63%63%
Breaks of serve41%37%45%
Aces per service game0.220.20
Double faults per game0.250.41
Sets with a tie-break14%9%
Tie-breaks won6/122/11
Wins in straight sets62%67%
Matches in the sample3652

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Polona Hercog

Leyre Romero Gormaz

Elo over the last year

Polona HercogLeyre Romero Gormaz

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

P. HercogL. Romero Gormaz
Hard court0–10%3–538%
Clay21–1362%27–1663%
Grass0–10%0–10%

Head to head

P. Hercog 0–1 L. Romero Gormaz

  • 21/09/26Winner: L. Romero Gormaz7:6 1:6 6:7

Road through the tournament

Polona Hercog

Leyre Romero Gormaz

First match in this tournament.

Upcoming matches

See also