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WTA 125 QuerétaroRound of 32claybest of three sets

Hercog vs Capurro Taborda 2:0: result and our tips

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Polona HercogWTA #206Elo 1628clay 1657
2:0final7:6(4) 7:5
Martina Capurro TabordaWTA #277Elo 1335clay 1393

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: HercogWon71%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Hercog: 4 matches in a row winning the first set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Polona Hercog77%
Martina Capurro Taborda23%

Elo: P. Hercog 82% · M. Capurro Taborda 18%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 P. Hercog57%
2:1 P. Hercog22%
2:1 M. Capurro Taborda11%
2:0 M. Capurro Taborda10%

First set

Polona Hercog71%
Martina Capurro Taborda29%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes32%
no68%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.578%22%77%
17.568%32%68%
18.558%42%59%
19.549%51%52%
20.543%57%45%
21.540%60%42%
22.536%64%37%

Sample: 1,081 matches

Games handicap

P. Hercog −5.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes18%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 19.5out · 25 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Polona HercogMartina Capurro Taborda
2Aces1
5Double faults8
61%First serves in69%
67%First-serve points won65%
60%Second-serve points won27%
4/6Break points converted3/5
9/12Service games held8/12
65%Service points won53%
47%Return points won35%
87Total points won70

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

P. HercogTourM. Capurro Taborda
Service points won58%56%52%
Return points won46%44%44%
Service games held68%63%54%
Breaks of serve40%37%34%
Aces per service game0.220.12
Double faults per game0.250.49
Sets with a tie-break14%0%
Tie-breaks won5/110/0
Wins in straight sets58%—
Matches in the sample344

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Polona Hercog

  • 16/10/26LJessica Bouzas Maneiro#96WTA 125 Lisbon · QF6:4 1:6 4:6
  • 14/10/26WJazmin Ortenzi#173WTA 125 Lisbon · R166:3 3:6 6:3
  • 13/10/26WMadalena MatiasWTA 125 Lisbon · R326:0 6:0
  • 21/09/26LLeyre Romero Gormaz#131WTA 125 Tolentino · R327:6 1:6 6:7
  • 14/09/26LJulie Struplova#259WTA 125 Ljubljana · R326:7 2:6
  • 25/08/26LMoyuka Uchijima#121WTA US Open · Q13:6 3:6
  • 16/07/26LJeline Vandromme#124WTA 125 Kitzbuhel · R164:6 0:3
  • 13/07/26WDalila Jakupovic#382WTA 125 Kitzbuhel · R326:2 2:6 6:4
  • 23/06/26LBianca Andreescu#129WTA Wimbledon · Q14:6 2:6
  • 18/05/26LAnna Bondar#76WTA Rabat · R321:1

Martina Capurro Taborda

  • 12/09/26LChloe Paquet#312WTA Sao Paulo · Q15:7 6:1 2:6
  • 21/02/26LMaria Timofeeva#72WTA Merida · Q14:6 1:6
  • 15/02/26LSofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez#543WTA 125 Midland · Q11:6 6:3 4:6
  • 04/11/25LSimona Waltert#128WTA 125 Tucuman · R321:6 2:6
  • 16/10/25LMartina Colmegna#420WTA 125 Rio de Janeiro · R164:6 6:3 0:6
  • 14/10/25WPietra RivoliWTA 125 Rio de Janeiro · R326:1 6:4
  • 12/10/25WSofia Da Cruz MendoncaWTA 125 Rio de Janeiro · Q16:0 6:2
  • 03/12/24LDespina Papamichail#203WTA 125 Florianopolis · R323:6 6:4 0:6
  • 25/11/24LAngela Fita Boluda#218WTA 125 Buenos Aires · R326:4 3:6 1:6
  • 18/11/24LOleksandra Oliynykova#62WTA 125 Colina · R323:6 5:7

Elo over the last year

Polona HercogMartina Capurro Taborda

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

P. HercogM. Capurro Taborda
Hard court0–10%0–30%
Clay19–1359%0–10%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.