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WTA 125 CaliRound of 32claybest of three sets

Janicijevic vs Sierra 0:2: result and our tips

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Selena JanicijevicWTA #322Elo 1498clay 1500
0:2final4:6 2:6
Solana SierraWTA #104Elo 1711clay 1766

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: SierraWon79%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 79%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Janicijevic lost 7 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Selena Janicijevic21%
Solana Sierra79%

Elo: S. Janicijevic 18% · S. Sierra 82%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Janicijevic9%
2:1 S. Janicijevic10%
2:1 S. Sierra21%
2:0 S. Sierra60%

First set

Selena Janicijevic27%
Solana Sierra74%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes31%
no69%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.5 · 52%market (no margin): 49%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.576%24%77%
17.567%33%68%
18.556%44%59%
19.548%52%52%
20.542%59%45%
21.539%62%41%
22.534%66%37%

Sample: 1,022 matches

Games handicap

S. Sierra −5.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes18%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 19.5in · 18 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Selena JanicijevicSolana Sierra
2Aces1
5Double faults5
58%First serves in74%
63%First-serve points won76%
32%Second-serve points won46%
1/1Break points converted4/10
5/9Service games held8/9
50%Service points won68%
32%Return points won50%
53Total points won71

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. JanicijevicTourS. Sierra
Service points won54%56%55%
Return points won45%44%44%
Service games held58%63%61%
Breaks of serve36%37%36%
Aces per service game0.200.19
Double faults per game0.340.47
Sets with a tie-break7%6%
Tie-breaks won1/35/7
Wins in straight sets86%63%
Matches in the sample1949

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Selena Janicijevic

Solana Sierra

Elo over the last year

Selena JanicijevicSolana Sierra

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. JanicijevicS. Sierra
Hard court0–20%7–1532%
Clay7–1041%13–765%
Grass0–04–357%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Selena Janicijevic

Solana Sierra

First match in this tournament.