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WTA 125 CuritibaRound of 16claybest of three sets

Tubello vs Cinalli: prediction and tips

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Alice TubelloWTA #207Elo 1537clay 1567
-:-
Luna Maria CinalliWTA #667Elo 1543clay 1545

Our tips

Tip in 56m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Alice Tubello91%
Luna Maria Cinalli9%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Tubello76%
2:1 A. Tubello15%
2:1 L. Cinalli5%
2:0 L. Cinalli5%

First set

Alice Tubello86%
Luna Maria Cinalli14%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes19%
no81%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 18.5 · 60%market (no margin): 50%

The 18.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 19.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
14.586%14%93%
15.573%27%86%
16.561%39%77%
17.550%50%68%
18.541%60%59%
19.534%66%52%
20.527%73%45%

Sample: 610 matches

Games handicap

A. Tubello −6.555%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes14%

tour average 20%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. TubelloTourL. Cinalli
Service points won54%56%57%
Return points won45%44%46%
Service games held59%63%68%
Breaks of serve40%37%39%
Aces per service game0.080.18
Double faults per game0.250.31
Sets with a tie-break6%0%
Tie-breaks won1/30/0
Wins in straight sets67%100%
Matches in the sample223

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Alice Tubello

  • 26/10/26WLaura Samson#116WTA 125 Curitiba · R326:0 6:4
  • 24/09/26LJulia Grabher#122WTA 125 Tolentino · R166:3 3:6 4:6
  • 22/09/26WDalila Spiteri#368WTA 125 Tolentino · R326:2 6:2
  • 18/09/26LSamira de Stefano#186WTA 125 Ljubljana · QF6:4 6:7 4:6
  • 16/09/26WDalma Galfi#152WTA 125 Ljubljana · R166:3 6:4
  • 15/09/26WVivian Wolff#250WTA 125 Ljubljana · R326:4 6:3
  • 08/09/26LBarbora Palicova#181WTA 125 Montreux · R326:3 4:6 1:6
  • 25/08/26LPriscilla Hon#291WTA US Open · Q14:6 6:4 2:6
  • 10/07/26LLeolia Jeanjean#90WTA 125 Contrexeville · QF6:3 3:6 4:6
  • 08/07/26WCaroline Werner#262WTA 125 Contrexeville · R166:3 6:3

Luna Maria Cinalli

Elo over the last year

Alice TubelloLuna Maria Cinalli

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. TubelloL. Cinalli
Hard court0–20%0–0
Clay9–1047%2–167%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Alice Tubello

Luna Maria Cinalli