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WTA 125 CuritibaRound of 32claybest of three sets

Samson vs Tubello 0:2: result and our tips

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Laura SamsonWTA #116Elo 1694clay 1729
0:2final0:6 4:6
Alice TubelloWTA #207Elo 1489clay 1516

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Lost67%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Samson 15 of 20, Tubello 14 of 20 (tour average 59%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Lost39%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Samson 8 of 20, Tubello 10 of 20 (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Laura Samson63%
Alice Tubello37%

Elo: L. Samson 77% · A. Tubello 23%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Samson36%
2:1 L. Samson22%
2:1 A. Tubello17%
2:0 A. Tubello25%

First set

Laura Samson54%
Alice Tubello46%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 53%market (no margin): 49%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.567%33%59%
19.560%40%52%
20.553%47%45%
21.549%51%42%
22.543%57%37%
23.539%61%33%
24.536%64%31%

Sample: 1,496 matches

Games handicap

L. Samson −2.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Over 20.5out · 16 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Laura SamsonAlice Tubello
1Aces1
10Double faults1
49%First serves in56%
63%First-serve points won74%
25%Second-serve points won72%
1/1Break points converted5/5
3/8Service games held7/8
44%Service points won73%
27%Return points won56%
28Total points won52

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. SamsonTourA. Tubello
Service points won54%56%54%
Return points won48%44%45%
Service games held61%63%58%
Breaks of serve41%37%39%
Aces per service game0.210.08
Double faults per game0.520.25
Sets with a tie-break12%6%
Tie-breaks won6/121/3
Wins in straight sets52%63%
Matches in the sample4321

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Laura Samson

  • 18/10/26LAriana Geerlings Martinez#299WTA 125 Mallorca · F2:6 2:6
  • 17/10/26WTamara Zidansek#141WTA 125 Mallorca · SF6:1 1:6 6:3
  • 16/10/26WAndrea Lazaro Garcia#137WTA 125 Mallorca · QF6:0
  • 15/10/26WLucie Nguyen Tan#365WTA 125 Mallorca · R166:0 6:3
  • 12/10/26WAran Teixido Garcia#351WTA 125 Mallorca · R326:3 2:6 6:3
  • 21/09/26LNoemi Basiletti#232WTA 125 Tolentino · R323:6 4:6
  • 19/09/26LSamira de Stefano#186WTA 125 Ljubljana · SF3:6 6:1 4:6
  • 18/09/26WAnastasiia Sobolieva#166WTA 125 Ljubljana · QF6:4 6:1
  • 16/09/26WWeronika Falkowska#287WTA 125 Ljubljana · R166:7 6:0 6:3
  • 15/09/26WLucija Ciric-Bagaric#388WTA 125 Ljubljana · R326:3 6:2

Alice Tubello

  • 24/09/26LJulia Grabher#122WTA 125 Tolentino · R166:3 3:6 4:6
  • 22/09/26WDalila Spiteri#368WTA 125 Tolentino · R326:2 6:2
  • 18/09/26LSamira de Stefano#186WTA 125 Ljubljana · QF6:4 6:7 4:6
  • 16/09/26WDalma Galfi#152WTA 125 Ljubljana · R166:3 6:4
  • 15/09/26WVivian Wolff#250WTA 125 Ljubljana · R326:4 6:3
  • 08/09/26LBarbora Palicova#181WTA 125 Montreux · R326:3 4:6 1:6
  • 25/08/26LPriscilla Hon#291WTA US Open · Q14:6 6:4 2:6
  • 10/07/26LLeolia Jeanjean#90WTA 125 Contrexeville · QF6:3 3:6 4:6
  • 08/07/26WCaroline Werner#262WTA 125 Contrexeville · R166:3 6:3
  • 07/07/26WYufei Ren#285WTA 125 Contrexeville · R322:6 7:5 6:4

Elo over the last year

Laura SamsonAlice Tubello

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. SamsonA. Tubello
Hard court0–50%0–20%
Clay25–1268%8–1044%
Grass0–10%0–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.