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WTA 125 CourmayeurQuarterfinalhard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Bassols Ribera vs Charaeva 0:2: result and our tips

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Marina Bassols RiberaWTA #125Elo 1670hard 1624
0:2final4:6 4:6
Alina CharaevaWTA #82Elo 1821hard 1795

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Marina Bassols Ribera31%
Alina Charaeva69%

Elo: M. Bassols Ribera 27% · A. Charaeva 73%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Bassols Ribera19%
2:1 M. Bassols Ribera14%
2:1 A. Charaeva21%
2:0 A. Charaeva46%

First set

Marina Bassols Ribera37%
Alina Charaeva63%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.0 · 50%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%70%
18.566%34%61%
19.558%42%53%
20.550%50%46%
21.543%57%41%
22.539%61%36%
23.536%65%33%

Sample: 2,032 matches

Games handicap

A. Charaeva −3.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 21%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.0in · 20 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Marina Bassols RiberaAlina Charaeva
2Aces11
7Double faults1
63%First serves in68%
66%First-serve points won85%
37%Second-serve points won50%
1/3Break points converted3/15
7/10Service games held9/10
55%Service points won74%
26%Return points won45%
59Total points won78

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. Bassols RiberaTourA. Charaeva
Service points won55%56%58%
Return points won47%44%44%
Service games held61%63%68%
Breaks of serve44%37%36%
Aces per service game0.070.30
Double faults per game0.420.42
Sets with a tie-break10%14%
Tie-breaks won6/1111/21
Wins in straight sets78%63%
Matches in the sample4865

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Marina Bassols Ribera

Alina Charaeva

Elo over the last year

Marina Bassols RiberaAlina Charaeva

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. Bassols RiberaA. Charaeva
Hard court8–850%17–1357%
Clay17–1259%17–1161%
Grass2–167%4–357%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Marina Bassols Ribera

Alina Charaeva