WTA 125 CourmayeurRound of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets
Knutson vs Charaeva: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 58mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Gabriela Knutson40%
Alina Charaeva61%
Elo: G. Knutson 54% · A. Charaeva 47%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 G. Knutson22%
2:1 G. Knutson17%
2:1 A. Charaeva21%
2:0 A. Charaeva40%
First set
Gabriela Knutson40%
Alina Charaeva60%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no63%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 48%market (no margin): 50%
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 67% | 33% | 60% |
| 19.5 | 59% | 41% | 53% |
| 20.5 | 53% | 47% | 46% |
| 21.5 | 48% | 52% | 41% |
| 22.5 | 42% | 58% | 36% |
| 23.5 | 38% | 62% | 33% |
| 24.5 | 35% | 65% | 30% |
Sample: 2,462 matches
Games handicap
A. Charaeva −3.548%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes24%
tour average 21%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| G. Knutson | Tour | A. Charaeva | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 58% | 56% | 58% |
| Return points won | 44% | 44% | 44% |
| Service games held | 65% | 63% | 68% |
| Breaks of serve | 35% | 37% | 36% |
| Aces per service game | 0.33 | 0.30 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.42 | 0.43 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 9% | 14% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 7/9 | 11/21 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 65% | |
| Matches in the sample | 46 | 65 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Gabriela Knutson
- 26/10/26WRositsa Dencheva#195WTA 125 Courmayeur · R327:5 3:6 6:0
- 16/10/26LMartyna Kubka#148WTA 125 Rovereto · QF5:7 2:4
- 14/10/26WSusan Bandecchi#149WTA 125 Rovereto · R163:6 7:6 7:6
- 12/10/26WEmiliana Arango#157WTA 125 Rovereto · R326:4 6:3
- 25/09/26LMaria Timofeeva#72WTA 125 Porto · QF1:6 2:6
- 23/09/26WAyana Akli#273WTA 125 Porto · R166:4 5:7 6:4
- 22/09/26WKatherine Sebov#230WTA 125 Porto · R326:4 6:2
- 20/09/26LLisa Pigato#102WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · F4:6 2:6
- 19/09/26WMia Pohankova#144WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · SF7:5 5:7 6:3
- 18/09/26WMalaika Rapolu#282WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · QF6:2 1:6 6:4
Alina Charaeva
- 27/10/26WEnola Chiesa#535WTA 125 Courmayeur · R326:4 6:1
- 13/10/26LMartyna Kubka#148WTA 125 Rovereto · R321:6 2:6
- 07/10/26LQinwen Zheng#22WTA Beijing · R161:6 6:2 4:6
- 05/10/26WSonay Kartal#52WTA Beijing · R326:4 6:1
- 03/10/26WElena Rybakina#1WTA Beijing · R643:6 6:4 6:3
- 01/10/26WYuliia Starodubtseva#54WTA Beijing · R1285:7 7:5 6:2
- 24/09/26LAnna Bondar#76WTA Seoul · R164:6 7:6 6:7
- 22/09/26WSofia Kenin#187WTA Seoul · R323:6 7:6 6:4
- 18/09/26LAnna Blinkova#73WTA Sao Paulo · QF4:6 5:7
- 17/09/26WElina Avanesyan#145WTA Sao Paulo · R166:2 6:3
Elo over the last year
Gabriela KnutsonAlina Charaeva
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| G. Knutson | A. Charaeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 23–1462% | 16–1453% |
| Clay | 2–250% | 17–1161% |
| Grass | 2–340% | 4–357% |
Head to head
G. Knutson 1–0 A. Charaeva
- 09/12/25Winner: G. Knutson2:6 7:6 6:4
Road through the tournament
Gabriela Knutson
- 26/10/26WRositsa Dencheva#195WTA 125 Courmayeur · R327:5 3:6 6:0
Alina Charaeva
- 27/10/26WEnola Chiesa#535WTA 125 Courmayeur · R326:4 6:1