Skip to content
WTA 125 CaliRound of 32claybest of three sets

Grabher vs Pigossi 2:1: result and our tips

·

Julia GrabherWTA #112Elo 1748clay 1771
2:1final3:6 6:3 6:2
Laura PigossiWTA #260Elo 1432clay 1445

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 17.5Won64%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Grabher: 14 matches in a row over 17.5 games; Over 17.5 games in recent matches: Grabher 18 of 20, Pigossi 13 of 20 (tour average 68%)

Other tips

  • Set Betting: Grabher 2-0Lost63%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Grabher won 2-0 in 7 of the last 20 matches, Pigossi lost 0-2 in 10 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 21.5Won35%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 21.5 games in recent matches: Grabher 12 of 20, Pigossi 11 of 20 (tour average 41%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Julia Grabher83%
Laura Pigossi17%

Elo: J. Grabher 87% · L. Pigossi 13%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Grabher63%
2:1 J. Grabher19%
2:1 L. Pigossi9%
2:0 L. Pigossi8%

First set

Julia Grabher76%
Laura Pigossi24%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes28%
no72%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.0 · 48%market (no margin): 50%

The 19.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
15.584%17%86%
16.573%27%77%
17.564%36%68%
18.552%48%59%
19.545%55%52%
20.538%62%45%
21.535%65%41%

Sample: 871 matches

Games handicap

J. Grabher −5.555%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes18%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 19.0out · 26 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Julia GrabherLaura Pigossi
2Aces1
6Double faults1
90%First serves in88%
63%First-serve points won62%
33%Second-serve points won40%
6/6Break points converted4/18
9/13Service games held7/13
56%Service points won53%
47%Return points won44%
101Total points won92

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. GrabherTourL. Pigossi
Service points won56%56%50%
Return points won43%44%43%
Service games held64%63%51%
Breaks of serve36%37%35%
Aces per service game0.160.12
Double faults per game0.470.32
Sets with a tie-break15%7%
Tie-breaks won7/173/5
Wins in straight sets58%25%
Matches in the sample5029

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Julia Grabher

Laura Pigossi

Elo over the last year

Julia GrabherLaura Pigossi

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. GrabherL. Pigossi
Hard court5–1033%1–517%
Clay21–1362%7–1532%
Grass0–10%0–10%

Head to head

J. Grabher 1–0 L. Pigossi

  • 14/10/25Winner: J. Grabher7:6 7:6

See also