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Challenger Costa do SauipeChallenger 175Round of 16claybest of three sets

Bueno vs Ribeiro: prediction and tips

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Gonzalo BuenoATP #198Elo 1687clay 1695
-:-
Eduardo RibeiroATP #360Elo 1581clay 1587

Our tips

Tip in 12m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Gonzalo Bueno60%
Eduardo Ribeiro40%

Elo: G. Bueno 65% · E. Ribeiro 35%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 G. Bueno39%
2:1 G. Bueno22%
2:1 E. Ribeiro17%
2:0 E. Ribeiro23%

First set

Gonzalo Bueno58%
Eduardo Ribeiro42%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 54%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.575%25%76%
18.566%34%68%
19.559%41%59%
20.553%47%52%
21.546%54%46%
22.542%58%40%
23.539%61%36%

Sample: 4,952 matches

Games handicap

G. Bueno −2.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 27%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

G. BuenoTourE. Ribeiro
Service points won57%62%60%
Return points won42%38%40%
Service games held67%76%73%
Breaks of serve32%24%29%
Aces per service game0.130.23
Double faults per game0.300.15
Sets with a tie-break9%12%
Tie-breaks won10/145/14
Wins in straight sets62%73%
Matches in the sample6952

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Gonzalo Bueno

Eduardo Ribeiro

Elo over the last year

Gonzalo BuenoEduardo Ribeiro

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

G. BuenoE. Ribeiro
Hard court3–350%1–150%
Clay36–2658%25–2550%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Gonzalo Bueno

Eduardo Ribeiro