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Challenger Costa do SauipeChallenger 175Qualifying round 2claybest of three setsqualifying

Ribeiro vs Miguel 1:2: result and our tips

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Eduardo RibeiroATP #360Elo 1581clay 1588
1:2final7:6(1) 4:6 3:6
Luis Felipe MiguelElo 1512clay 1517

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Eduardo Ribeiro61%
Luis Felipe Miguel39%

Elo: E. Ribeiro 60% · L. Miguel 40%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 E. Ribeiro39%
2:1 E. Ribeiro22%
2:1 L. Miguel17%
2:0 L. Miguel22%

First set

Eduardo Ribeiro59%
Luis Felipe Miguel41%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.570%30%68%
19.562%38%59%
20.555%45%52%
21.549%51%46%
22.543%57%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.537%63%34%

Sample: 4,929 matches

Games handicap

E. Ribeiro −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes26%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 32 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Eduardo RibeiroLuis Felipe Miguel
2Aces0
4Double faults3
59%First serves in63%
62%First-serve points won59%
38%Second-serve points won53%
5/11Break points converted8/12
8/16Service games held10/15
52%Service points won57%
43%Return points won48%
97Total points won106

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

E. RibeiroTourL. Miguel
Service points won61%62%61%
Return points won40%38%41%
Service games held74%76%74%
Breaks of serve28%24%31%
Aces per service game0.230.32
Double faults per game0.150.23
Sets with a tie-break12%6%
Tie-breaks won4/130/1
Wins in straight sets72%50%
Matches in the sample507

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Eduardo Ribeiro

Luis Felipe Miguel

Elo over the last year

Eduardo RibeiroLuis Felipe Miguel

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

E. RibeiroL. Miguel
Hard court1–150%0–0
Clay24–2450%4–357%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Eduardo Ribeiro

First match in this tournament.

Luis Felipe Miguel