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Challenger Costa do SauipeChallenger 175Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Zeballos vs Miguel 0:2: result and our tips

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Federico ZeballosElo 1336clay 1341
0:2final1:6 2:6
Luis Felipe MiguelElo 1483clay 1488

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: MiguelWon71%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 71%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Zeballos lost 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Set Betting: Miguel 2-0Won48%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Zeballos lost 0-2 in 10 of the last 18 matches, Miguel won 2-0 in 1 of the last 6 matches (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Federico Zeballos24%
Luis Felipe Miguel77%

Elo: F. Zeballos 30% · L. Miguel 70%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Zeballos13%
2:1 F. Zeballos11%
2:1 L. Miguel22%
2:0 L. Miguel53%

First set

Federico Zeballos30%
Luis Felipe Miguel70%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

Expected total: 22.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.575%26%76%
18.565%35%68%
19.556%44%59%
20.550%50%52%
21.544%56%46%
22.538%62%40%
23.535%65%36%

Sample: 2,943 matches

Games handicap

L. Miguel −4.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 20.5in · 15 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Federico ZeballosLuis Felipe Miguel
0Aces2
1Double faults0
61%First serves in60%
45%First-serve points won79%
50%Second-serve points won88%
0/1Break points converted4/8
3/7Service games held8/8
47%Service points won83%
18%Return points won53%
31Total points won60

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. ZeballosTourL. Miguel
Service points won59%62%60%
Return points won36%38%40%
Service games held70%76%72%
Breaks of serve19%24%29%
Aces per service game0.270.33
Double faults per game0.340.25
Sets with a tie-break0%7%
Tie-breaks won0/00/1
Wins in straight sets33%33%
Matches in the sample196

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Federico Zeballos

Luis Felipe Miguel

Elo over the last year

Federico ZeballosLuis Felipe Miguel

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. ZeballosL. Miguel
Hard court0–20%0–0
Clay6–1135%3–350%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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