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Challenger Costa do SauipeChallenger 175Round of 32claybest of three sets

Galan vs Bueno 1:0: result and our tips

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Daniel Elahi GalanATP #355Elo 1704clay 1692
1:0retired6:4 5:5
Gonzalo BuenoATP #198Elo 1687clay 1695

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.560%

Where the number comes from: market alone 65% → with the players' profiles 60%

Bueno: 4 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Daniel Elahi Galan55%
Gonzalo Bueno45%

Elo: D. Galan 50% · G. Bueno 50%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Galan35%
2:1 D. Galan20%
2:1 G. Bueno19%
2:0 G. Bueno26%

First set

Daniel Elahi Galan54%
Gonzalo Bueno46%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 53%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.568%32%68%
19.560%40%59%
20.553%47%52%
21.547%53%46%
22.542%58%40%
23.539%61%36%
24.536%64%34%

Sample: 4,698 matches

Games handicap

D. Galan −1.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 27%

Match stats

Daniel Elahi GalanGonzalo Bueno
3Aces2
2Double faults2
66%First serves in57%
62%First-serve points won63%
50%Second-serve points won28%
5/10Break points converted4/8
6/10Service games held5/10
58%Service points won48%
52%Return points won42%
72Total points won59

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. GalanTourG. Bueno
Service points won62%62%57%
Return points won39%38%42%
Service games held76%76%67%
Breaks of serve25%24%31%
Aces per service game0.350.13
Double faults per game0.170.30
Sets with a tie-break20%9%
Tie-breaks won12/2610/14
Wins in straight sets57%63%
Matches in the sample5568

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Daniel Elahi Galan

Gonzalo Bueno

Elo over the last year

Daniel Elahi GalanGonzalo Bueno

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. GalanG. Bueno
Hard court1–233%3–350%
Clay27–2552%35–2657%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Daniel Elahi Galan

Gonzalo Bueno

First match in this tournament.