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Challenger Costa do SauipeChallenger 175Round of 32claybest of three sets

Ribeiro vs Miguel 2:0: result and our tips

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Eduardo RibeiroATP #360Elo 1559clay 1565
2:0final6:3 6:1
Luis Guto MiguelATP #547Elo 1630clay 1620

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Won63%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

No third set in recent matches: Ribeiro 15 of 20, Miguel 16 of 20 (tour average 66%)

Long shot
Set Betting: Miguel 2-0Lost45%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Ribeiro lost 0-2 in 9 of the last 20 matches, Miguel won 2-0 in 9 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Eduardo Ribeiro29%
Luis Guto Miguel71%

Elo: E. Ribeiro 42% · L. Miguel 58%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 E. Ribeiro16%
2:1 E. Ribeiro14%
2:1 L. Miguel23%
2:0 L. Miguel48%

First set

Eduardo Ribeiro35%
Luis Guto Miguel65%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.0 · 48%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.575%25%76%
18.566%34%68%
19.558%42%59%
20.552%48%52%
21.546%54%46%
22.540%60%40%
23.537%63%36%

Sample: 3,823 matches

Games handicap

L. Miguel −3.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.0in · 16 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Eduardo RibeiroLuis Guto Miguel
2Aces1
1Double faults2
60%First serves in55%
53%First-serve points won47%
67%Second-serve points won42%
6/13Break points converted2/4
6/8Service games held2/8
59%Service points won45%
55%Return points won42%
63Total points won48

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

E. RibeiroTourL. Miguel
Service points won60%62%60%
Return points won40%38%42%
Service games held73%76%72%
Breaks of serve28%24%30%
Aces per service game0.230.26
Double faults per game0.150.31
Sets with a tie-break12%10%
Tie-breaks won5/143/5
Wins in straight sets72%75%
Matches in the sample5122

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Eduardo Ribeiro

Luis Guto Miguel

  • 16/10/26LHugo Dellien#107Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · QF2:6 4:6
  • 14/10/26WMaximo Zeitune#516Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R166:2 6:4
  • 13/10/26WMurkel Dellien#450Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R326:0 1:0
  • 02/10/26LPedro Boscardin Dias#300Challenger Curitiba · QF3:6 7:5 2:6
  • 01/10/26WJoao Eduardo Schiessl#551Challenger Curitiba · R167:6 7:5
  • 30/09/26WFacundo Mena#196Challenger Curitiba · R326:2 2:1
  • 28/08/26LAidan Mayo#285Challenger Kingston 2 · SF3:6 4:6
  • 27/08/26WAndrew Fenty#489Challenger Kingston 2 · QF7:5 7:5
  • 26/08/26WThomas Fancutt#691Challenger Kingston 2 · R166:2 6:3
  • 24/08/26WTyler Zink#441Challenger Kingston 2 · R326:4 6:2

Elo over the last year

Eduardo RibeiroLuis Guto Miguel

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

E. RibeiroL. Miguel
Hard court1–150%3–350%
Clay24–2549%9–756%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Eduardo Ribeiro

Luis Guto Miguel

First match in this tournament.