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Challenger Bratislava 2Challenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Damm Jr vs Gentzsch: prediction and tips

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Martin Damm JrATP #102Elo 1885hard 1852
-:-
Tom GentzschATP #165Elo 1773hard 1711

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.570%

Where the number comes from: market alone 62% → with the players' profiles 70%

Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Damm Jr 18 of 20, Gentzsch 17 of 20 (tour average 62%); Damm Jr: 8 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 25.534%

Where the number comes from: market alone 30% → with the players' profiles 34%

Damm Jr: 3 matches in a row over 25.5 games; Over 25.5 games in recent matches: Damm Jr 8 of 20, Gentzsch 9 of 20 (tour average 32%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Martin Damm Jr75%
Tom Gentzsch25%

Elo: M. Damm Jr 69% · T. Gentzsch 31%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Damm Jr53%
2:1 M. Damm Jr22%
2:1 T. Gentzsch11%
2:0 T. Gentzsch14%

First set

Martin Damm Jr69%
Tom Gentzsch31%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 53%market (no margin): 49%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.570%30%62%
20.562%38%54%
21.554%46%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.535%65%35%
25.534%67%32%

Sample: 3,861 matches

Games handicap

M. Damm Jr −4.545%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes43%

tour average 32%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. Damm JrTourT. Gentzsch
Service points won68%62%64%
Return points won33%38%38%
Service games held86%76%81%
Breaks of serve16%24%23%
Aces per service game0.990.52
Double faults per game0.300.28
Sets with a tie-break29%19%
Tie-breaks won26/4615/32
Wins in straight sets78%60%
Matches in the sample6770

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Martin Damm Jr

Tom Gentzsch

Elo over the last year

Martin Damm JrTom Gentzsch

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. Damm JrT. Gentzsch
Hard court23–1955%14–1254%
Clay7–654%26–1367%
Grass7–558%2–340%

Head to head

They have not met yet.